2020年历史奖并列第三名

How is the modern world different from previous periods of history and why did it come into existence when and where it did?

现代世界与以前的历史时期有何不同,为什么它是在何时何地出现的?

梅根·崔,菲利普斯安多弗学院,美国
2020年历史奖并列第三名|8.5 分钟阅读

Transport yourself to the moment when you open your eyes every morning. Think carefully about what your first impulse is. Perhaps your first thought is something along the lines of: what’s going on? Or, perhaps more accurately: what have I missed? And you reach for your phone to find out. You’re not alone; 80% of people check their phones within fifteen minutes of waking up each morning and a whopping one quarter of people check it within the first minute![1] It is precisely this shared impulse that defines us as members of a modern society.

It’s impossible to pinpoint a specific period in history when the world transitioned into modernity because there isn’t one. Instead, the key to what engendered the modern world existed within the minds of an uncountable number of individuals. Most people might indicate a major technological shift, like the Industrial Revolution, when seeking the start of the modern era. Technology did in fact play a tremendous role in ushering in the modern age, but it was not the only factor. It was the urge of people to become part of something greater, in tandem with technological growth, which is closer to the truth. The technological development in question is the advent of media via the printing press, leading to mass media with the transistor radio, the telephone, the television, the internet, and the smartphone. As national consciousness grew among the occupants of the world’s fledgling nations, so too did the demand for faster, more comprehensive media to sustain the common need to become part of an imagined community. Regardless of the time period, whenever national consciousness awoke in large part due to a sophisticated media system, modernity was being formed. In short, historically, modern is media.

The philosophical underpinnings of this thesis lie with Benedict Anderson and his book, Imagined Communities. The central idea is that modernity and nation-building went hand in hand. Although we could therefore pin the answer to the question during the era of the nation-state[2], it would be a disservice to the sociological and psychological developments taking place in the mind, where modernity truly resides. Due to the proliferation of print media (in the form of newspapers and novels) the very concept of time was forever altered, laying the foundation for the nation to emerge. A person in a pre-modern society believed they were living in a flat timeline, forever in the “end times” approaching the apocalypse. This is why the Catholic Church held such sway over most of Europe—they dictated how time was experienced. People would have rarely left their individual communities, farms, and congregations. They wouldn't have thought of themselves as “Frenchmen” but rather something much more mundane like “Jacques from up the bend.[3]” They certainly wouldn’t care what Marguerite from the coast of Nice was up to and probably couldn’t even conceive of the lived experience of Li Wei from Shanghai.

Print media changed that forever. For the first time, Jacques could read a newspaper about “new” things occurring that were important to know. Experiences from around the country and the world filled in the mental map Jacques had of the world, broadening his scope but at the same time planting him firmly in France. Things presented in the newspaper became legitimate because of the fact that they were publicized for all to read. Newspapers helped shape public opinion of the members of a nation, suppressing dissenting views and shaping what it meant to think like a Frenchman, Chinese, American, etc. If something was done “for the people” like the creation of public education or even starting a war, modern listeners would readily accept it. More intimately, people gained the sense of intersubjectivity—that they could share an experience with another member of their nation that they will never even meet. This idea can be illustrated best with letter writing (or text messaging today) because in order to rationally write a letter and expect a reply, one had to assume there would be another person doing the same thing, living a life very similar to theirs. People began to care about other “selves” in the world. By reading novels they could get into the minds of characters from their own nation, from other nations, other genders, ages, and on. By spending leisure time at the cafe, they could interact with other selves by discussing the news of the day.

A modern nation is only possible because of this imagined community, a sense of shared stuff that all people from that nation possess. As states became modern, they adopted a national flag, a clearly defined border, and a shared history that included all people for the first time[4]. National identities were constructed around a “bricolage” of things that were already present in society and this was presented by the media as the type of person to emulate. As Michael Kim lays out, this is how Koreans envisioned themselves as more than just a subset of China (as the old Yangban elites might have preferred) to a new national Korean people, putting Korea as the new center rather than accepting China’s status as the “middle country”. Koreans at the dawn of modernity had to collectively agree that all other Koreans eat kimchi, write in hangul, speak a certain dialect, and live specific cultural patterns based on their particular bricolage and what was carried over the airwaves from Seoul-based radio stations. In fact, television and radio were heavily responsible for destroying regional dialects and cultures to promote a kind of national mono-culture. Even though those regional accents and proclivities may still exist in the world today, by just following the media one might never know it. According to structuralism, a speech act performed by the media could implant an idea in the minds of consumers. If an American is supposed to fear Mexicans, the president might go on television and say, “Mexicans are dangerous” and make it so. The disparity of power the media has on the minds of citizens can be compared to the power differential between a preacher at a mega-church and a homeless preacher on the sidewalk. Their power rests in the size of their audience, not in what they say.

The cultural pattern is worth delving further into because the media greatly shaped the ways that early modern people lived their lives, creating a human that might even be recognizable today as “modern”. By imagining that everyone else in one’s nation is doing the same thing, it encourages conformity and senses of security and belonging by doing those things. In the mornings, an early modern person would go buy their daily newspaper driven by the same impulse that compels you to reach for your phone upon waking. By reading the news, they would know what to talk about during the coffee break at their job. It’s worth considering why they are even taking a break at all, (because it’s permissible, because their peers do, because there’s time), and why coffee is the beverage of choice, (because it’s advertised everywhere in the paper and regaled as the popular thing to drink, of course[5]). The adoption of cultural patterns lead to a convergence towards a uniform national identity, even in mundane matters like the beverage one drinks. Years ago in America there were so many regional tonics and elixirs like cronk sarsaparilla[6]—which was touted in local newspapers as “the drink”—but in modern America, there’s really only Coca-Cola and Pepsi.

Modernity, propelled by the media and implanted into the minds of citizens, leads to a great convergence. We can say the world is recognizably “modern” because it looks the same everywhere. In the modern world, there is only one “civilization” that each nation must conform to. This concept seems to justify imperialism since if a place exists without the civilization that one’s nation enjoys, it would only be right for a modern citizen to support spreading their modern civilization “over there”. Thus, imperialism acted as a method to spread modernity worldwide and shape all parts of the world into a uni-form, recognizable to all. Before modernity, the world must have been so much more incredibly diverse than we can possibly imagine today. Essentially, the world took after Europe since European powers were responsible for conquering most of it, (with Japan joining in on the trend towards the end).

As media continues to develop, so too does the individuality we regard as essential today. As the world becomes more connected due to technology, we become more sure of our sovereignty. Media helped change the narrative on sovereignty, shifting it from the monarch towards the individual, sanctifying individual rights such as free speech—or the right to put your pen to paper or your finger to the touchscreen and write as you please to a friend. Through the media, people learn the symbolic representations of what it means to be modern such as how to dress, what to buy, how to speak and so on. Modernity becomes a “package deal” that must be consumed like any other commodity. In fact, our identities have become so intertwined with commodities that even personal information can be bought and sold. Essentially, the true aim of mass media is to remove barriers of communication and deterritorialize people in the service of consumption to fuel the modern nation state. This may always have been the aim of media and modernity in general—to individualize people and thus make them easier to control. Eventually, modern people transform the technologies designed to govern them such as mass media, a unified time zone, and schedules into tools to dominate the self on behalf of the state. Remember reaching for your phone after waking up? Just why did you wake up when you did? You woke up because of the alarm you had set for yourself to get up and go to work for the nation state.

Modernity may still be an unfinished project, but its origin is firmly rooted in the development of media and lies not in anything physical but within the minds of individuals. Modernity happened and is happening whenever and wherever in the world things are being “civilized” through a process of standardization informed by mass media. Our system of dates and understanding of history cannot pin an exact time for modernity’s origin because that system is an illusion that never occured the way we think it did. In a pre-modern viewpoint, we could still simply be living day by day, connected merely to those in our inner circle—but we believe ourselves to be part of something much bigger. People have irrevocably changed due to modernity into “individuals” who resemble one another much more closely than pre-modern persons ever did. Perhaps as new media continues to develop, imagined communities will crop up around commonalities that are not tied to any nation-state, altering history once again. People head to online mass media to find their imagined communities, whether it is a livestream of a new video game, a popular discussion forum on reddit, a fandom of personality-driven cooking shows on Youtube, or the thrill of enlisting in the BTS K-Pop army alongside similar individuals with that same niche interest, to which members might claim stronger allegiance than their own nation state!

Footnotes:

1 Pinkman,“80% Of Smartphone Users Check Their Phones Before Brushing Their Teeth ... And Other Hot Topics.” The New York Post goes further, claiming Americans check their phones 80 times per day.

2 Let’s say the 19th Century.

3 Weber, Peasants into Frenchmen.

4 This shared history always purports that the nation had existed in some form in ancient times, even in instances when the actual creation of the nation was much more recent than commonly thought, like with the modern iteration of Italy, founded in 1861 and the PRC in 1949.

5 Not to mention brought in by the boatload from a tropical nation thanks to modern trade routes.

6 The Guardian, “Cronk Rules Everything Around Me”

Bibliography

Anderson, Benedict R. Imagined Communities: Reflections on the Origin and Spread of Nationalism. London, 1982.

Cecco, Leyland. “'Cronk Rules Everything around Me': Long-Lost Beverage Resurrected after 120 Years.” The Guardian, Guardian News and Media, 3 July 2020, www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/03/dr-cronk-drink-canada-brewery.

Habermas Jürgen. The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere: an Inquiry into a Category of Bourgeois Society. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1991.

Kim, Michael. “Cosmopolitanism, Nationalism, and Transnationalism in Korean History.” The Routledge Handbook of Korean Culture and Society, by Youna Kim, Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group, 2017, pp. 15–34.

Kim, Michael. “The Colonial Public Sphere and the Discursive Mechanism of Mindo.” Mass Dictatorship and Modernity, 2013, pp. 178–202., doi:10.1057/9781137304339_10.

Kim, Michael. “Nation-Building and Development as Ideology and Practice.” The Palgrave Handbook of Mass Dictatorship, 2016, pp. 51–65., doi:10.1057/978-1-137-43763-1_5.

Pinkham, Ryan“80% Of Smartphone Users Check Their Phones Before Brushing Their Teeth ... And Other Hot Topics.” Constant Contact, 15 Dec. 2014, blogs.constantcontact.com/smartphone-usage-statistics/#:~:text=How%20about%20check%20yo ur%20phone,of%20waking%20up%20each%20morning.

Weber, Eugen. Peasants into Frenchmen: the Modernization of Rural France: 1870-1914. Stanford University Press, 1976.

2020年历史奖得主

How is the modern world different from previous periods of history and why did it come into existence when and where it did? (Dr. Stephen Davies, Institute of Economic Affairs)

现代世界与以前的历史时期有何不同,为什么它是在何时何地出现的?(斯蒂芬·戴维斯博士,经济事务研究所)

Runan Lin,乔治城预科学校,美国
2020年历史奖得主|7 分钟阅读

Picture a country that is the global leader in terms of military strength and political influence. It has a complex law code that governs all parts of the population regardless of their social or economic status; it plays a major role in global trade and maintains a vibrant industrial system divided into public and private sectors; this is a country whose population comes from different cultures and has various religious affiliations, including but not limited to Christianity, Buddhism, and Islam; this country practices the idea of meritocracy - selecting government officials on the base of merit - and has a complex system of government built upon the balance of power. This country is also unrivaled globally in civil and military technology, its inventions being spread across continents.

This country, of course, is China during the Tang and Song dynasties. The “complex law code” refers to the law code of the Tang Dynasty, which went through three major modifications and included four distinct forms of law enforcement;[1] meritocracy is exercised through the Keju examination system; the “complex system of government” refers to the “Three Departments and Six Ministries” model, which divides the government into three major branches and six subordinating ministries; advanced “civil and military technology” is exemplified in the development of gunpowder and the introduction of paper currency. Indeed, for many living during the Tang-Song period, this was the pinnacle of civilization, their “modern” society.[2]

The Oxford Dictionary defines the concept of modern as “[pertaining to] the present time or recent times.”[3] The Encyclopaedia Britannica explains modernity as “the self-definition of a generation about its own technological innovation, governance, and socioeconomics,” and the key phrase in this explanation is “self-definition of a generation.[4] This essay aims to reconsider the questions of how, why, when, and where the modern world came into existence, and what sets it apart from the pre-modern world. Instead of tying the emergence of the modern world to a specific time and place, this work will analyze several historical periods to suggest that the definition of modernity is extremely subjective and that this concept manifests itself differently in various times and places.

Since modernity is, according to the Encyclopedia Britannica, “a self-definition of a generation,” the concepts of modernity and of a modern society have been subject to different interpretations at different time periods. For example, the United States considered itself to be the “City upon a Hill,” the beacon of liberty and the avant-garde in democracy and human rights. American Exceptionalism was a common theme since the founding of the young republic, and Thomas Jefferson famously described the United States in the following words:

[The United States was] trusted with the destinies of this solitary republic of the world, the only monument of human rights, and the sole depository of the sacred fire of freedom and self-government from hence it is to be lighted up in other regions of the earth, if other regions of the earth shall ever become susceptible of its benign influence. All mankind ought then, with us, to rejoice in its prosperous, and sympathize in its adverse fortunes, as involving every thing dear to man.[5]

The founding fathers had indeed provided their citizens with more personal and political freedom under a democratic elective government, and, at the time, the United States did indeed seem modern. However, only several decades later, Frederick Douglass and W.E.B. DuBois would go on to challenge Jefferson’s perception of America as the epitome of modernity and freedom and the best realization of Enlightenment ideals by pointing to the institution of slavery and to racial injustice. In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, when the US was at the forefront of modernity in terms of industrial developments, activists such as Elizabeth C. Stanton criticised the society’s unequal and backward treatment of women in social, economic, and political spheres. What was thought to be modern in the 19th and early 20th centuries became obsolete within a matter of a few decades, once again demonstrating that the understanding of modernity changes over time.

Even within the same historical period, however, modernity remains an extremely subjective concept that could be interpreted differently in different places and cultures. In the Middle Ages, Europe saw little progress under the shadows of feudalism and manorialism, while the Islamic World and China were entering their respective “golden ages.” In the Middle Ages, the Islamic World was reaching unprecedented heights in cultural and scientific advancements. Mathematician al-Khwarizmi created the concept of algebra, Arab scholars in Cordoba translated and preserved the works of great Greco-Roman writers, and Muslim scholars made remarkable progress in medicine and navigation technology.[6] At the same time, Song Dynasty China was going through a golden age similar to that in the Islamic World. Therefore, while a resident of Song Dynasty China would have considered paper currency, thousand-miles-long canals, and civil service examinations to be modern, a contemporary Western European would have never heard of gunpowder, compasses, spices of Asia, and social mobility and would have seen the heavy plough as the pinnacle of modernity.[7]

When Europeans first discovered the American continent and came into contact with the natives, the Aztecs must have thought that Tenochtitilan was the most developed city of the world, and firearms, written languages, and the Renaissance were definitely not included in their definition “modernity.” Similarly, during the Industrial Age, Emperor Qianlong of Qing Dynasty wrote a letter to King George III of the United Kingdom in which he claimed that “...our Celestial Empire possesses all things in prolific abundance and lacks no product within its own borders. There was therefore no need to import the manufactures [sic] of outside barbarians in exchange for our own produce.”[8] At the time of this letter (1793), Great Britain was embroiled in the new ideas of the Enlightenment and the inception of the Industrial Revolution and was considered to be the most advanced nation in terms of its military and civilian technology. While an 18th-century European would have defined modernity in terms of factorial production, voting, and republicanism, a citizen of the Qing Empire would have had a vastly different interpretation of the term. This is reflected in Qianlong’s belief that the Celestial Empire possessed “all things in prolific abundance and lacked no product within its own borders” and therefore did not need to be modernized any further.[9]

In each of the examples above, it is clear that interpretations of the concept of “modern” differ drastically across time and space. Many scholars, including those not coming from a Western background, believe that the Enlightenment marks the beginning of the modern world.[10] However, if these criteria are applied to the contemporary world, then countries that do not have a democratic or republican form of government or do not otherwise conform to the western standards of modernity would have no place in our shared modernity. Such a Western-centric approach dismisses the cultural and scientific innovations that non-Western civilizations have made throughout history, thus contributing to the establishment of the modern world from which they are now excluded. While the Western understanding of modernity is becoming more prevalent around the world due to globalization, the contemporary world still does not have a unified definition of “modern,” nor do people in different parts of today’s world experience modernity in the same way. Even in the 21st century, absolute monarchs retain their power in kingdoms such as Saudi Arabia and Brunei,[11] despite the fact that this system of government goes against the ideals of natural rights, republicanism, and democracy. Even throughout the Western world, undisputedly “modern” to most, is still plagued by issues such as slavery and human trafficking, as well as the remnants of racial discrimination rooted in slavery. 12.3 million people remain under some form of forced labor, and at least 10,000 of them are in the United States - the number would increase further if the incarcerated population were included in this statistic.[12] Stories of forced laborers being moved across huge tracts of land and being abused along the way frequently make us question our socioeconomic definition of “modern.”

In all of the three main factors defining modernity according to the Encyclopaedia Britannica - technological innovation, governance, and socio-economics - the world had never before, has not yet, and probably never will, reach a consensus. In terms of technological innovation, the internet could not be accessed by 89.3% of the households in Africa and 52.4% in Asia and the Middle East.[13] In terms of governance, the debate ensues in terms of the balance between individual freedom and security ever since John Locke’s proposal of a social contract theory. The discrepancy among attitudes towards socio-economics upheld by various nations is even more extensive and complex. Taking these three factors into consideration, it is impossible to identify a specific point in history during which everyone in the world lived according to the same definition of modernity, which suggests that the concept of modernity is subject to individual interpretation and that there has never been and never will be a universal “modern world.”

Footnotes

1 Li Linfu, Tang Liudian, ed. Jiuling Zhang (Shangwu Yinshuguan, 1978).

2 Patricia Buckley Ebrey, The Cambridge Illustrated History of China, trans. Shiyu Zhao, Shiling Zhao, and Hongyan Zhang (Jinan, Shandong: Shandong Huabao Press, 2001), pp.76-92; 98-105.

3 “Modern,” Oxford Learner's Dictionaries, accessed June 12, 2020, https://www.oxfordlearnersdictionaries.com/definition/english/modern?q=modern.

4 Sharon L. Snyder, “Modernity,” Encyclopædia Britannica (Encyclopædia Britannica, inc., May 20, 2016), https://www.britannica.com/topic/modernity.

5 Thomas Jefferson, “Thomas Jefferson to the Citizens of Washington, D.C., 4 March.,” National Archives and Records Administration (National Archives and Records Administration), accessed June 13, 2020, https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Jefferson/03-01-02-0006.

6 Amira K. Bennison, The Great Caliphs: the Golden Age of the Abbasid Empire (New Haven, CT: Yale University, 2014), pp.181-186.

7 “China in 1000 CE,” The Song Dynasty in China (Asia for Educators, Columbia University, 2020), http://afe.easia.columbia.edu/songdynasty-module/index.html; Thomas Barnebeck Andersen, Peter S. Jensen, and Christian Skovsgaard, “The Heavy Plough and the Agricultural Revolution in Medieval Europe,” SSRN Electronic Journal, 2013, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2362894.

8 Qianlong, “Letter to George III, 1793,” Internet History Sourcebooks (Fordham University, 2020), https://sourcebooks.fordham.edu/mod/1793qianlong.asp.

9 Qianlong, “Letter to George III, 1793,” Internet History Sourcebooks (Fordham University, 2020), https://sourcebooks.fordham.edu/mod/1793qianlong.asp.

10 Yi Junqing, and Lingmei Fan, "Dimensions of Modernity and Their Contemporary Fate," Frontiers of Philosophy in China 1, no. 1 (2006): 6-21, Accessed June 15, 2020. www.jstor.org/stable/30209946. This article serves as a good example ofto the argument above, with the authors - both Chinese- beginning by defining modernity as “the cultural schemata and mechanisms of social action stemming from the Enlightenment.”

11 Harry St. John Bridger Philby, William L. Ochsenwald, and Joshua Teitelbaum, “Saudi Arabia,” Encyclopædia Britannica (Encyclopædia Britannica, iInc., June 13, 2020), https://www.britannica.com/place/Saudi-Arabia; Ooi Jin Bee, Mohamad Yusop Damit, and Pushpa Thambipillai, “Brunei,” Encyclopædia Britannica (Encyclopædia Britannica, Inc., June 15, 2020), https://www.britannica.com/place/Brunei.

12 Rodger Doyle, "Modern Slavery," Scientific American 294, no. 1 (2006): 30, Accessed June 16, 2020. www.jstor.org/stable/26061289.

13 Marcus Leaning, “Internet Accessibility Continental Comparison,” UNESCO, accessed June 23, 2020, https://en.unesco.org/sites/default/files/milweek17_marcus_leaning.pdf.

Bibliography

Andersen, Thomas Barnebeck, Peter S. Jensen, and Christian Skovsgaard. “The Heavy Plough and the Agricultural Revolution in Medieval Europe.” SSRN Electronic Journal, 2013. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2362894.

Bennison, Amira K. The Great Caliphs: the Golden Age of the Abbasid Empire. New Haven, CT: Yale University, 2014.

Bee, Ooi Jin, Mohamad Yusop Damit, and Pushpa Thambipillai. “Brunei.” Encyclopædia Britannica. Encyclopædia Britannica, Inc., June 15, 2020. https://www.britannica.com/place/Brunei.

“China in 1000 CE.” The Song Dynasty in China. Asia for Educators, Columbia University, 2020. http://afe.easia.columbia.edu/songdynasty-module/index.html.

Doyle, Rodger. "Modern Slavery." Scientific American 294, no. 1 (2006): 30. Accessed June 16,

2020. www.jstor.org/stable/26061289.

Ebrey, Patricia Buckley. The Cambridge Illustrated History of China. Translated by Shiyu Zhao, Shiling Zhao, and Hongyan Zhang. Jinan, Shandong: Shandong Huabao Press, 2001.

Hunter, Shireen T. "Can Islam and Modernity Be Reconciled?" Insight Turkey 11, no. 3 (2009): 1-12. Accessed June 15, 2020. www.jstor.org/stable/26331091.

Leaning, Marcus. “Internet Accessibility Continental Comparison.” Internet Accessibility.

UNESCO. Accessed June 23, 2020. https://en.unesco.org/sites/default/files/milweek17_marcus_leaning.pdf.

Linfu, Li. Tang Liudian. Edited by Jiuling Zhang. Shangwu Yinshuguan, 1978.

“Modern.” Oxford Learner's Dictionaries. Accessed June 12, 2020. https://www.oxfordlearnersdictionaries.com/definition/english/modern?q=modern.

Qianlong. “Letter to George III, 1793.” Internet History Sourcebooks. Fordham University, 2020. https://sourcebooks.fordham.edu/mod/1793qianlong.asp. From E. Backhouse and J.

O. P. Bland, Annals and Memoirs of the Court of Peking (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1914), pp. 322-331

Snyder, Sharon L. “Modernity.” Encyclopædia Britannica. Encyclopædia Britannica, Inc., May 20, 2016. https://www.britannica.com/topic/modernity.

“Thomas Jefferson to the Citizens of Washington, D.C., 4 March 1809,” Founders Online, National Archives, https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Jefferson/03-01-02-0006. [Original source: The Papers of Thomas Jefferson, Retirement Series, vol. 1, 4 March

1809 to 15 November 1809, ed. J. Jefferson Looney. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2004, pp. 13–14.]

Yi, Junqing, and Lingmei Fan. "Dimensions of Modernity and Their Contemporary Fate." Frontiers of Philosophy in China 1, no. 1 (2006): 6-21. Accessed June 15, 2020. www.jstor.org/stable/30209946.

2019年经济学一等奖

What does economics tell us about the benefits and costs of immigration? What policy should we adopt?

经济学告诉我们移民的好处和成本是什么?我们应该采取什么政策?

卢克·杜西,日耳曼敦学院,美利坚合众国
2019年经济学奖得主和大奖得主|8 分钟阅读

United States President Donald Trump recently voiced the concerns of many citizens when he proclaimed, “Illegal immigration hurts American workers; burdens American taxpayers; and . . . costs our country billions and billions of dollars each year.”[1] Similar sentiments are expressed in the United Kingdom, where native workers fear the “Polish plumber,”[2] and in Australia, where Australian Labor Party leader, Bill Shorten, warns that work visas “undercut local jobs, wages and conditions.”[3] At first glance, it may seem reasonable to conclude that, with a fixed number of jobs available, immigrants present a threat to native workers. However this Malthusian logic incorrectly assumes immigrants are perfect substitutes for locals and that the demand for labor is static.

Recent empirical work demonstrates that firms, workers, and markets are dynamic and able to adapt to an expanded workforce.[4] While large-scale immigration may have distributional implications, there is little evidence to support claims that, on a macro level, immigration depresses wages, drives up unemployment, or burdens taxpayers.[5] In fact, economic theory and empirical studies demonstrate that in the long run immigration raises productivity, wages, and living standards.[6] At the global level, researchers estimate that the removal of all barriers to labor mobility would double world GDP.[7] Staggering gains of this order suggest that international immigration policy deserves careful consideration.

Immigration is a complex and emotion-charged matter, but any serious examination of this issue must be grounded in fact. Fortunately, existing economic literature provides the empirical evidence and the analytical framework to rationally examine the issue, starting with the impetus behind approximately 260 million[8] immigrants in the world today and another 750 million[9] who would move permanently to another country if given the opportunity. In his seminal work first published in 1932, Nobel Laureate John Hicks posits, “Differences in net economic advantages, chiefly differences in wages, are the main cause of migration.”[10] In 1987 Harvard economist George Borjas employed a selection model, based on the work of Andrew Roy, to demonstrate that potential migrants consider relative return to skill and skill transferability in addition to relative income levels.[11]

Individuals weigh the benefits of emigrating against the often-significant costs and barriers presented by such an endeavor. For instance, policy in the host country may target specific individual attributes or restrict the total number of immigrants. Legal immigrants must pay passport, visa, and transportation fees. Undocumented migrants who seek illicit entry may pay a smuggler or incur significant physical risk. Once inside the host country, new immigrants may lack the local network, credentials, or labor market expertise needed to find suitable employment in a timely manner. There are also psychic costs that may arise from the language barrier, unfamiliar cultural norms, and social isolation.

Despite these challenges, the potential productivity gains from migration are significant. In a perfectly competitive labor market, each worker is paid a wage commensurate with the value he produces. Migration allows workers to seek higher wages by moving to a location where they are more productive. This yields a more efficient allocation of labor that economists estimate is worth as much as 130 trillion dollars in additional global output.[12] If even 5% of the world’s poorest were to migrate to developed nations, the increase in world GDP would be greater than the increase from the complete elimination of all international barriers to the movement of goods, services, and capital flows.[13] Yet, in spite of the potential gains, nearly every developed country places restrictions on immigration.[14]

One factor driving these restrictions is that many presume immigrants depress natives’ wages.[15] However in practice, because of differences in language, vocational, and technical skills, most immigrant workers are not close substitutes for native workers and, therefore, do not compete for the same jobs.[16] In fact, immigrants often are complements in production, rather than substitutes. In an oft-cited paper, economists Giovanni Peri and Chad Sparber, present a dynamic process where natives respond to an influx of immigrants by shifting into jobs that leverage their comparative advantage.[17] This occurs across the education spectrum; less-educated natives respond to an increase in less-educated immigrants by shifting from manual-intensive to communication-intensive jobs, and college-educated natives move into managerial roles when high-skilled engineers and scientists enter the country.[18]

Of course, the gains from immigration are not evenly distributed. Harvard economist George Borjas grouped U.S. workers into skill cells based on their education and experience. Borjas found that, within certain skill cells, immigration has a statistically significant negative impact on weekly earnings, particularly among the less educated.[19] Studies in Canada, Germany, and Norway yielded similar results.[20] Although the skill cells technique does not capture the possible benefits to natives who change their skill sets over time in response to immigration, it does offer empirical evidence that in the short run weekly earnings of less-educated natives are hurt by an inflow of immigrants with similar skills.

However in the long run overall wages will rise with productivity, and studies show a positive relationship between immigration and productivity gains. High-skilled immigrants attract capital investment and foster innovation, both of which boost labor productivity.[21] Less-skilled immigrant workers, such as landscapers and childcare providers, encourage more high-skilled natives, especially women, to enter the workforce.[22] Immigrants who are investors or entrepreneurs boost native employment and expand the set of available goods and services.[23] And because immigrants have knowledge of the available products, business norms, and regulations in their home country, they are able to facilitate welfare improving international trade by lowering transaction costs[24] and providing greater product variety.[25]

In addition to concerns about the labor market, many citizens of developed countries harbor fear that immigrants are a burden to native taxpayers.[26] However, here too the evidence suggests that such concerns may be unfounded. Estimates of immigration’s fiscal impact vary but a survey of the relevant literature reveals a number of clear patterns. To begin with, the fiscal impact of immigration tends to be positive and relatively small.[27] For example, a comprehensive study undertaken by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, using static accounting in 2013, found that in twenty out of the twenty-seven member nations studied, the net fiscal contribution by immigrants was between zero and 0.5% of GDP.[28] In general, empirical studies show a greater positive net fiscal impact in countries with more highly skilled immigrants and a lower or even negative impact in countries with large humanitarian immigrant inflows.[29] Younger immigrants tend to have a more positive fiscal impact because they are healthier, participate in the labor force longer, and assimilate more successfully than older immigrants.[30]

The benefits of migration extend to the sending country as well. The most direct benefit comes from remittances which, according to the World Bank, often exceed total foreign aid and, in nine countries, account for more than 20% of GDP.[31] Furthermore, although early research from distinguished economists such as Jagdish Bhagwati and Koichi Hamada warned of dire consequences for origin countries losing highly skilled immigrants—so-called brain drain—the data show these fears to be largely unfounded provided emigration rates do not exceed 35%.[32] Brain drain fails to materialize because, in addition to cash payments and investments, high-skilled emigrants return expertise and institutional reform to the sending country.[33] Furthermore, the mere prospect of emigration incents the population, only a fraction of whom will ultimately leave, to attain greater levels of education and training.[34] All these factors raise total factor production and living standards in the sending country.[35]

Despite the benefits for both the origin and host countries, constructing fair and effective immigration policy is a complicated normative process that must allow for historical, political, and social considerations. As such, current immigration policy varies greatly across the globe from family-based policy in the United States to point-based systems in Australia to guest worker programs in the United Arab Emirates. Family-based immigrants tend to have lower earnings at entry but experience faster wage growth because of better social networks and greater incentive to acquire locally valued human capital.[36] Point-based systems favor immigrants with specified characteristics such as education, occupation, or language skills. These systems result in more high-skilled immigrants but often these skills do not transfer well to the host country, and the criteria may not be flexible enough to keep pace with the dynamic needs of an ever-changing business environment. Guest worker programs offer greater flexibility to meet labor shortages and may discourage illegal immigration, but workers typically return home after a specified period of time and have limited access to social services.[37]

Every policy has relative strengths and each situation is unique, but there are proven measures host nations may take to enhance immigrants’ odds of success, beginning with language training. Language skills are critical, and immigrant-focused language programs lead to greater economic success and social integration.[38] Active labor market programs, such as job search assistance and counseling, workplace introduction, and on-going mentoring, increase employment rates for immigrants.[39] Lastly, immigrants tend to achieve greater success in countries with flexible labor markets and effective anti-discrimination law.[40]

Sound policy must also account for the native workers negatively impacted by immigration, especially older and less-educated individuals.[41] This is a particularly vulnerable group and many government run programs designed to retrain and re-employ this cohort are ineffective.[42] However programs that leverage the power of the private sector are often more successful. For example, Swedish industries and unions jointly established the Job Security Councils,[43] and in Germany the Federal Employment Agency provides vouchers to cover the cost of privately run retraining and job placement services.[44] These programs are more effective because they better identify the skills most in demand and more quickly adjust to changes in the economic environment.[45]

Although economic models predict monumental gains from unrestricted international labor mobility, this is not politically feasible in the near term. An incremental approach to such a grand, and largely irreversible, endeavor is more pragmatic. That said, there is a compelling argument for immigration policy driven by market forces rather than bureaucratic rules. An example of such an approach, first proposed by Nobel Laureate Gary Becker, calls for the daily sale of a set number of visas in an open market, at a price determined by the laws of supply and demand.[46] Economist Benjamin Powell proposes the annual sale of 5 immigrant visas for permanent residency per 1,000 of host country population.[47] The cost of the visa may be paid by the immigrant worker, the employer, or a third party such as a charitable foundation. Payment could be financed with a traditional loan or even an Income Share Agreement.[48]

A market-based approach may be more politically feasible because it attracts immigrants with more productive and entrepreneurial potential, and visa payments contribute to government revenue.[49] It is arguably more fair than existing policy because entry into the country is not determined by family ties, country of origin, inflexible point-based systems, or other Byzantine regulation. Market-based policy could be augmented with a procedure that allows current undocumented workers to purchase a visa, in the open market, after successful completion of a non-trivial amnesty program. In some cases the needs of a nation may be better served by selling two types of visas, permanent and seasonal, in the open market or by making a relatively small number of free visas available to refugees from political or religious persecution. However, regardless of the particulars, free markets depend on the rule of law,[50] and therefore successful market-based policy must—some might say regrettably―include credible and sufficiently harsh consequences for illegal immigrants and their employers.

A robust body of empirical analysis over the last several decades challenges the notion that immigrants, in aggregate, undermine local labor markets or strain government budgets. Rather, the data suggest that in the long run immigration raises living standards for natives as well as immigrants. A further reduction in barriers to international labor mobility could add tens of trillions of dollars to global GDP.[51] Although immigration is often an emotional and politically contentious issue, potential immigrants and future generations deserve thoughtful policy based on sound principles and empirical evidence, not knee-jerk reactions and political pandering.

Footnotes

1 Donald Trump, “Remarks by President Trump on the Illegal Immigration Crisis and Border Security,” The White House, Roosevelt Room, Washington DC, November 1, 2018, https://www.whitehouse.gov/.

2 Daniel Pimlott, “Migration: Why we need Polish plumbers,” Financial Times, February 22, 2006, https://www.ft.com/.

3 William Richard Shorten, “Protecting Local Workers – Restoring Fairness to Australia's Skilled Visa System,” Bill’s Media Releases, April 23, 2019, https://www.billshorten.com.au/.

4 Giovanni Peri, “Do Immigrant Workers Depress the Wages of Native Workers?” IZA World of Labor, (May 2014), 2.
5 Benjamin Powell, The Economics of Immigration: Market-Based Approaches, Social Science, and Public Policy (New York: Oxford University Press, 2015), 11-70.
6 Giovanni Peri, “Do Immigrant Workers Depress the Wages of Native Workers?” IZA World of Labor, (May 2014), 1.
7 Michael A. Clemens, “Economics and emigration: Trillion-dollar bills on the sidewalk?” Journal of Economic Perspectives 22, no. 3 (2011), Table 1.

8 United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, International Migration Report 2017: Highlights, (New York, 2017) Table 1, https://www.un.org.

9 Neli Esipova, Anita Pugliese, and Julie Ray, “More Than 750 Million Worldwide Would Migrate If They Could,” Gallop, (December 10, 2018), https://news.gallup.com/

10 John R. Hicks, The Theory of Wages, 2nd ed. (London: Macmillan, 1963), 76.
11 George J. Borjas, “Self-selection and the Earnings of Immigrants,” American Economic Review 77, no. 4 (1987): 551-52.

12 Michael A. Clemens, “Economics and emigration: Trillion-dollar bills on the sidewalk?” Journal of Economic Perspectives 22, no. 3 (2011), Table 1.

13 Benjamin Powell, The Economics of Immigration: Market-Based Approaches, Social Science, and Public Policy (New York: Oxford University Press, 2015), 2.

14 Ibid., 11.

15 Giovanni Peri, “Do Immigrant Workers Depress the Wages of Native Workers?” IZA World of Labor, (May 2014), 2.

16 Ibid., 8.

17 Giovanni Peri and Chad Sparber. “Task Specialization, Immigration and Wages.” American Economic Journal 1, no. 3 (2009): 135-69.

18 Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano and Giovanni Peri, “Rethinking the Effect of Immigration on Wages.” Journal of the European Economic Association 10, no. (2012): 191.

19 George J. Borjas, “The Labor Demand Curve is Downward Sloping: Reexamining the Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, no. 4 (2003): 1346-48.

20 Cynthia Bansak, Nicole B. Simpson, and Madeline Zavodny, The Economics of Immigration, (London and New York: Routledge, 2015), 183.

21 Cynthia Bansak, Nicole B. Simpson, and Madeline Zavodny, The Economics of Immigration, (London and New York: Routledge, 2015), 188-204.

22 Patricia Cortes and Jose Tessada, “Low-Skilled Immigration and the Labor Supply of Highly Skilled Women,” American Economic Journal Applied Economics 3, no. 3 (July 2011): 110-11.

23 Jennifer Hunt, “Which Immigrants Are Most Innovative and Entrepreneurial? Distinctions by Entry Visa,” Journal of Labor Economics 29, no. 3 (2011): 419-22.

24 Cynthia Bansak, Nicole B. Simpson, and Madeline Zavodny, The Economics of Immigration, (London and New York: Routledge, 2015), 201-02.

25 Chen Bo and David S. Jacks, “Trade, Variety, and Immigration,” Economics Letters 117, no. 1 (March 2012): 243-46, doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2012.04.007.

26 Giovanni Peri, “Do Immigrant Workers Depress the Wages of Native Workers?” IZA World of Labor, (May 2014), 2.

27 Cynthia Bansak, Nicole B. Simpson, and Madeline Zavodny, The Economics of Immigration, (London and New York: Routledge, 2015), 232.

28 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, International Migration Outlook 2013 (Paris: OECD Publishing, 2013), doi.org/10.1787/migr_outlook-2013-en.

29 Cynthia Bansak, Nicole B. Simpson, and Madeline Zavodny, The Economics of Immigration, (London and New York: Routledge, 2015), 230-32.

30 Ibid., 230-34.

31 World Bank, Global Economic Prospects 2006 : Economic Implications of Remittances and Migration, (Washington DC: World Bank, 2006), 85-127.

32 Frederic Docquiera and Hillel Rapoport, “Quantifying the Impact of Highly-Skilled Emigration on Developing Countries,” Centre for Economic Policy Research (May 16, 2009): 77.

33 World Bank, Global Economic Prospects 2006 : Economic Implications of Remittances and Migration, (Washington DC: World Bank, 2006), 25-72.

34 Michael Beine, Frederic Docquier, and Hillel Rapoport, "Brain drain and human capital formation in developing countries: winners and losers," Economic Journal 118, no. 4 (2008): Table 1.

35 Benjamin Powell, The Economics of Immigration: Market-Based Approaches, Social Science, and Public Policy (New York: Oxford University Press, 2015), 23-31.

36 Cynthia Bansak, Nicole B. Simpson, and Madeline Zavodny, The Economics of Immigration, (London and New York: Routledge, 2015), 281-324.

37 Ibid., 313-318.

38 Barry Chiswick and Paul Miller, Handbook of the Economics of International Migration, Volume 1A: The Immigrants (Oxford: Elsevier, 2015), 213-70.

39 Ulf Rinne, “The Evaluation of Immigration Policies,” IZA Discussion Paper 6369 (February 2012): 19-20.

40 Cynthia Bansak, Nicole B. Simpson, and Madeline Zavodny, The Economics of Immigration, (London and New York: Routledge, 2015), 167, 325.

41 Ronald D'Amico and Peter Z. Schochet, The Evaluation of the Trade Adjustment Assistance Program: A Synthesis of Major Findings, Prepared for U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration. (Oakland, CA: Social Policy Research Associates and Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, December 2012) iv..https://www.mathematica-mpr.com/.

42 Jeffrey Selingo, “The False Promises of Worker Retraining,” The Atlantic, January 8, 2018, https://www.theatlantic.com/.

43 Thomas K. Grose, “The Worker Retraining Challenge,” U.S. News and World Report, February 6, 2018, https://www.usnews.com/.

44 Julia Lang and Thomas Kruppe, “Labour Market Effects of Retraining for the Unemployed - the Role of Occupations,” German Economic Association Conference Paper, (August 2014): 26. http://hdl.handle.net/10419/100420.

45 Council of Economic Advisers. Addressing America’s Reskilling Challenge. (July 2018): 22. https://www.whitehouse.gov/.

46 Benjamin Powell, The Economics of Immigration: Market-Based Approaches, Social Science, and Public Policy (New York: Oxford University Press, 2015), 146-54.

47 Benjamin Powell, The Economics of Immigration: Market-Based Approaches, Social Science, and Public Policy (New York: Oxford University Press, 2015), 147.

48 Ibid.,152

49 Robert W. Fairlie, Kauffman Index of Entrepreneurial Activity, 1996-2011 (Kansas City, MO: Kauffman Foundation, 2013), 10-13.

50 Samuel Bufford, “International Rule of Law and the Market Economy - An Outline,” Southwest Journal of Law and Trade in the Americas 12, (2006): 311.

51 Michael A. Clemens, “Economics and emigration: Trillion-dollar bills on the sidewalk?” Journal of Economic Perspectives 22, no. 3 (2011), 87.

Author’s Note

Unless specified otherwise, this paper will use the word “immigrants” to denote individuals who are not born a citizen of the country where they currently reside. This includes voluntary and humanitarian immigrants, who enter the host country with or without proper documentation, and stay on a temporary or permanent basis.

Bibliography

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Bhagwati, Jagdish and Koichi Hamada. “The Brain Drain, International Integration of Markets for Professionals and Unemployment: A Theoretical Analysis.” Journal of Development Economics 1, no. 1 (1974): 19-42.

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Bufford, Samuel. “International Rule of Law and the Market Economy - An Outline.” Southwest Journal of Law and Trade in the Americas 12, (2006): 303-12.

Chiswick, Barry and Paul Miller. Handbook of the Economics of International Migration, Volume 1A: The Immigrants. Oxford: Elsevier, 2015.

Clark, Ximena, Timothy J. Hatton, and Jeffrey G. Williamson. "Explaining U.S. immigration, 1971-98." World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3252, (March 2004): 1-35.

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Cortes, Patricia and Jose Tessada. “Low-Skilled Immigration and the Labor Supply of Highly Skilled Women.” American Economic Journal Applied Economics 3, no. 3 (July 2011): 88-123.

Council of Economic Advisers. Addressing America’s Reskilling Challenge. July 2018. https://www.whitehouse.gov/.

D'Amico, Ronald and Peter Z. Schochet. The Evaluation of the Trade Adjustment Assistance Program: A Synthesis of Major Findings. Prepared for U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration. Oakland, CA: Social Policy Research Associates and Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, December 2012. https://www.mathematica-mpr.com/.

Docquiera, Frederic and Hillel Rapoport. “Quantifying the Impact of Highly-Skilled Emigration on Developing Countries.” Centre for Economic Policy Research. (May 16, 2009): 1-114.

Duleep, Harriet Orcutt and Mark C. Regets. "Admission Criteria and Immigrant Earning Profiles." International Migration Review 30, no.2 (1996): 571-90.

-----. "The Elusive Concept of Immigrant Quality: Evidence from 1970-1990." College of William and Mary Department of Economics Working Paper 138 , (March 2013): 1-36.

Esipova, Neli, Anita Pugliese, and Julie Ray. “More Than 750 Million Worldwide Would Migrate If They Could.” Gallop, December 10, 2018. https://news.gallup.com/.

Fairlie, Robert W. Kauffman Index of Entrepreneurial Activity, 1996-2011 . Kansas City, MO: Kauffman Foundation, 2013.

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Giulietti, Corrado and Wahba, Jackline. “Welfare Migration.” IZA Discussion Paper 6450 , (March 2012): 1-18.

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Hatton, Timothy and Andrew Leigh. “Immigrants Assimilate as Communities, not as Individuals.” Journal of Population Economics 24, no. 2 (2011): 389-419.

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2020年经济学二等奖

What are the most important economic effects - good and bad - of forced redistribution? How should this inform government policy?

强制再分配最重要的经济影响(好的和坏的)是什么?这应该如何为政府政策提供信息?

Saskia Poulter,蒂芬女子学校,英国
2020年经济学奖亚军|8 分钟阅读

From its genesis, the metanarrative of the coronavirus crisis has been the exacerbation of existing inequalities: all are in the same storm, but by no means the same boat. The US Bureau of Labour Statistics estimates that an employee in the bottom 20% of the income distribution was four times more likely to lose their job in April 2020 than their counterpart in the highest fifth, whose average propensity to save in fact rose due to foregone expenditure.[1] Meanwhile, the Schumpeterian forces of creative destruction have intensified under market uncertainty such that, epitomising current trends towards tech monopolisation and platform capitalism,[2] Jeff Bezos is projected to become the world’s first trillionaire by 2026.[3] These recent tendencies, however, situate themselves within a wider current: since Piketty famously hypothesised that r>g,[4] Marx’s designation of capital concentration as one of the ‘immanent laws of capitalist production’ has gained renewed authority.[5] Judging, therefore, that government intervention is necessary to forestall such inertia, this essay will seek to establish the primacy of increasing equality: the most important economic effect of forced redistribution. It will weigh this against the potential for undermined efficiency through the lenses of income, inheritance and Tobin taxation, before considering the limitations of consequentialist analysis in informing government policy.

Most fundamentally, the Anglo-American status quo constitutes a socially inefficient resource distribution. Assuming the diminishing marginal utility of wealth, a Bergson-Samuelson-SWF can be constructed, from which convex social indifference curves are derived; when compared to a social utility distribution frontier, these determine a maximum which exhibits only moderate inequality.[6] By suggesting that in excess of a critical value happiness and wealth show negligible correlation, the Easterlin Paradox corroborates this conclusion. Meanwhile, United Nations analysis that the top decile of the American population appropriated 91% of income growth between 1989 and 2006 renders the traditional supposition that inequality benefits all absolutely by ‘trickling down’ woefully unconvincing.[7]

Moreover, Wilkinson and Pickett suggest that inequality generates acute psychic costs (see Figure 1).[8] In their 2018 book ‘The Inner Level’, ‘status anxiety’- that is, the fear of being perceived as unsuccessful by one’s materialistic society- is posited as a evolutionarily grounded causal mechanism for this: in humans as in other primates, cortisol levels are elevated in response to precarity in social dominance hierarchies.[9] Consider the instability inherent to neoliberalism as defined by Foucault (‘the extension of competition to all aspects of life’),[10] and the recent explosion of both pre- and post-transfer variance in individual incomes over time,11 and Wilkinson and Pickett’s claims gain greater credence.

The literature on inequality often delineates between equality of opportunity and outcome; whilst careful not to deny that some income differential is a desideratum for both static and dynamic efficiency, however, Stiglitz regards this distinction as a false dichotomy.[12] Since the Scottish Enlightenment, economists have recognised inequality’s function in incentivising investment, innovation and risk-taking; often, however, children from low-income families lack access to the education, healthcare and financial opportunities which would enable them to respond to such incentives. Equity aside, these barriers imply a gross opportunity cost in the underdevelopment of human capital, leaving workers with low functional flexibility and occupational mobility. Given Deloitte’s estimate that in the burgeoning digital age the half-life of a learned skill is only 4.5 years- compared to 26 years in the previous generation- such immobility is surely troubling.[13]

Moreover, contrary to Kaldor’s purported trade-off between efficiency and equality, the notion that a high Gini coefficient undermines growth is now settling into academic orthodoxy.[14] One explanation for this draws on Keynesian theory of consumption: since low-income agents have a higher marginal propensity to consume, low discretionary incomes among them result in high unconsummated demand. Another justification suggests that popular cries for trade protectionism can be attributed to financial vulnerability: Anglo-American workers resist efficiency-enhancing restructuring to a greater degree than mainland Europeans partially because the stakes of job loss are for them much higher. A robust social safety net might also minimise risk-aversion among entrepreneurs by acting as a guarantee; this parallels the logic underlying England’s Section 93 and America’s Chapter II bankruptcy laws.[15] Even if one rejects all of the above analysis, however, the fact that the liberal-residual US grew at 1.8% p.a. in 1990-2008, compared to the 2.6% of social democratic Norway, demonstrates that equality is at least not inimical to efficiency.[16]

Finally, there is growing suspicion that the psychosocial instability Wilkinson and Pickett describe is paralleled in the financial sector: Rajan posits an inequality-credit-crisis nexus, noting that ‘easy credit has been used as a palliative by governments throughout history’ to maintain aggregate demand and mitigate consumption inequality despite stagnating incomes.[17] Supposedly, this effect contributed to the overleveraging which was so catastrophic around the Minsky moment of 2008. It is clear that, because crises are costly, redistribution acting as a prophylactic to indebtedness is preferable to ex-post instruments such as resolution.

It would be reasonable to conclude, therefore, that a more equal income distribution is, ceteris paribus, a desirable objective. Indubitably,  however, the cp assumption is prohibitively reductive- the ways in which this is the case being contingent on the policy instrument deployed. Consider three examples:

A standard concern is that progressive income taxation generates efficiency costs which negate any distributional benefits.[18] Firstly, taxation disincentivises labouring as implies lower net wages, hence a lower opportunity cost of leisure. ‘Top talent emigration’ and higher turnover rates might ensue and, according to efficiency wage theory, agents reduce the effort allocated to their work. Tax evasion/avoidance is a further contributing factor, as is compensation bargaining, whereby top earners are assumed capable of negotiating their wages upwards, the incentives for which are greatest when tax rates are low. Accordingly, it is argued, top tax-rate cuts stimulate rent-seeking, though not necessarily economic growth.[19]

In identifying a rate above which these effects amount to net detriment, the elasticity of taxable income is a useful parameter. Ultimately, whilst there is no consensus as to its magnitude (Gruber and Saez calculate the current value to be 0.4, but estimates range between zero and one),[20] the precise figure will surely be contingent on the elimination of legal loopholes and poverty traps. The latter is a familiar problem in the UK, where 2017 Universal Credit proposals left families £1144 worse off p.a. where a second earner took five additional weekly hours of minimum-waged work.[21] Governments must be careful to avoid engineering such ‘traps’.

The optimal magnitude of transfers, meanwhile, should be determined according to Dalton’s Principle of Maximum Social Advantage, with the marginal social benefit of spending equalling the marginal social cost.[22] This calculation should incorporate inflation, fiscal sustainability and opportunity costs: particularly, whether capital expenditure might, by addressing inequality’s drivers, be a more effective long-term measure.[23] Concerns that transfers encourage freeriding and a ‘dependency culture’ should be considered but not overemphasised: having repeatedly failed to withstand empirical scrutiny, their presentation often resembles the moralising rhetoric of Weberian stratification.[24]

Nevertheless, income taxation overlooks the fact that income Gini coefficients are on average half the size of those for wealth; inheritance taxation seems an intuitive method of redressing this imbalance.[25] Surprisingly, however, Wolff questions whether such intuition is misguided, hypothesising that bequests in fact decrease inequalities of wealth since transfers are usually greater as a proportion of the current holdings of poorer households compared to richer ones.[26] Ultimately, though, longer-term dynamics undermine this suggestion: poorer agents usually spend their gains whereas the rich are able to save them. It has also been argued that inheritance taxes increase capital scarcity, hence capital returns, thereby exacerbating inequality overall.[27] Empirical analysis provides some foundation for this claim, though it remains unlikely to be sufficient in magnitude for redistribution to be counterproductive overall.[28]

As with income taxation, considerations of elasticity also apply to inheritance, with the additional possibility that high rates could incentivise the profligate running down of savings. Nonetheless, when combined with the ethical argument that inherited wealth is currently allocated arbitrarily (according to the ‘birth lottery’), the case for higher levies appears strong: today, only 5% of UK estates are subject to inheritance tax.[29]

Finally, a Tobin tax is a small ad valorem tax on financial transactions, the burden of which falls overwhelmingly on the most affluent as owners of capital.[30] Though the levy would universally increase transaction costs, currency speculation is virtually the only exchange which occurs at a sufficient frequency for a charge so small to factor in the trader’s cost-benefit analysis; accordingly, the European Parliament estimates that a rate of 0.1% would raise $50bn in annual revenue whilst having virtually no distortionary effect on the real economy.[31]

If imposed unilaterally, however, rigid controls might render a country uncompetitive; this would prove particularly detrimental to the UK, where financial services comprise 6.9% of total economic output.[32] One solution to the collective action problem of opt-out jurisdiction freeriding could be to require the tax’s implementation as a condition of access to supranational organisations such as the IMF; whether governments are politically prepared to so dramatically renounce fiscal sovereignty, however, is another matter.[33]

Moreover, critics of the Tobin tax describe its potential to reduce market liquidity, resulting in falling investment and rising costs of capital. They argue that financial transactions are often enacted to hedge risk and that by discouraging this the policy could prove destabilising. Ultimately, however, such negative effects are offset against the fact that slowing capital flows reduces exchange- rate volatility, leaving national networks less vulnerable to exogenous shocks. Irrational exuberance- led speculative pressures on exchange rates have been known to result in interest rates higher than is warranted by internal monetary conditions, damaging growth and employment; the Asian, Latin American and Russian crises of the 1990s have each been attributed in large part to destabilising capital flows.[34] If implemented multilaterally, then, a Tobin tax could be an efficient mode of collecting funds to be redistributed both domestically and internationally.

Notwithstanding, political economy poses a significant limitation on the influence of consequentialist analysis on policy prescription. Applying Downsian median voter theory, the Meltzer- Richard model suggests that the politico-economic equilibrium should rest in favour of redistributive policy, assuming a right-skewed income distribution and perfectly rational population.[35] Larcinese notes that such abstractions are rarely supported by empirical observation, however, as voter turnout is positively correlated with income, meaning that the pivotal voter is in fact richer than the median in the income distribution.[36] Moreover, the assumption of a perfectly rational homo economicus is obviously simplistic: widespread information asymmetries have been exposed, for example, by studies showing that voters underestimate the extent of inequality in their societies, and even then would prefer a more egalitarian society to that in which they believe they live.[37] Voters also weigh factors other than private pecuniary benefit when assessing policy, as illustrated by enduring popular interest in figures such as Nozick and Rawls.

We should also note that current high levels of public dependence on transfers might well persist into the medium term, given both the shocks and long-term tendencies described above. Beside the radical restructuring global lockdowns have ushered, a long-anticipated wave of automation is projected to reduce a significant proportion of the middle class to technological unemployment;[38] Moravec’s paradox states that high-level reasoning requires less computational power than tasks demanding agile mobility, meaning that ‘high-skilled’ jobs such as accounting are particularly vulnerable.[39] Thus, one might anticipate an increase in self-interested public support for redistribution.

In final analysis, then, governments must be careful to avoid inducing the ill-effects that poorly engineered policy can create; chief among these stand poverty traps, declining international competitiveness and loophole exploitation. Moreover, redistribution must not be viewed as a panacea for socioeconomic ills: transfers leave embodied cultural capital largely untouched, for example, and redressing this would require a much wider package of supply-side interventions.[40] Nevertheless, an extensive body of evidence suggests that citizens in general prefer greater redistribution to the status quo, that these preferences are underrepresented in electoral data, and that increasing numbers will depend upon state assistance for at least the foreseeable future. Consider also the benefits of greater growth, aggregate utility and financial stability which arise from moderate equality, and a strong case can be made that redistribution is indeed a necessary instrument for counterbalancing Marx’s doctrine of increasing misery.[41]

Author's Note

Whilst questions of international redistribution (aid and reparations, for example) undoubtedly warrant discussion, for the sake of brevity this essay focuses on redistribution within a single jurisdiction. For the same reason, it discusses redistribution among citizens as opposed to between firms; the role of subsidies and corporation tax, for example, fall outside of its remit. I presuppose a relatively high-income country, drawing most empirical data from the UK and US.

Footnotes

1 Larry Elliott, ‘Unemployment due to Covid-19 is surely worth more than a footnote’, The Guardian, 10 May 2020.

2 Nick Srnicek, Platform Capitalism (Cambridge: Polity Press, 2016).

3 Leaders, ‘Big tech is thriving in the midst of the recession’, The Economist, 2 May 2020. Tech monopolies Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and Facebook now comprise more than one-fifth of the entire value of the S&P 500 stock market index. 4 Thomas Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-First Century (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2014). Here, r denotes the rate of return on capital (i.e. profits, dividends, rents, incomes and interest), whilst g denotes the overall rate of economic growth. 5 Karl Marx, Capital: a Critique of Political Economy v.1 (London: Penguin Classics, 1990).

6 Nicola Acocella, The Foundations of Economic Policy (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000).

7 Jan Vandermoortele, ‘Inequality and Gresham’s Law: the bad drives out the good’, Unpublished thinkpiece for the UN in China, March 2013. <https://wess.un.org/archive/2015/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/dps_paper_vandemoortele.pdf>

8 Table: Karen Rowlingson, Does Income Inequality Cause Health and Social Problems? (York: Joseph Rowntree Foundation, 2011). <https://www.jrf.org.uk/sites/default/files/jrf/migrated/files/inequality-income-social-problems-full.pdf> In doing so, they address the objection that absolute as opposed to relative poverty is the only factor to warrant consideration.

9 Richard Wilkinson and Kate Pickett, The Inner Level (London: Penguin Books, 2018).

10 Michel Foucault, The Birth of Biopolitics: Lectures at the College de France, 1978-1979 (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008).

11 Jacob Hacker, The Great Risk Shift (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008). Hacker notes that locus of control scores- a powerful predictor for anxiety- have become substantially more external in recent years. He credits this to the lack of a robust social safety net.

12 Joseph Stiglitz, The Price of Inequality (London: Penguin, 2013). In his book, he formalises the negative correlation between income inequality and the intergenerational mobility of wealth as ‘The Great Gatsby Curve’, which manifests tangibly as the fact that an American child whose parents fall within in the bottom decile of the income distribution has a 20% chance of reaching college, whilst for those from the top decile that figure is closer to 90%.

13 Indranil Roy, Future of Work: an Introduction, January 2019

<https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/it/Documents/human-capital/Future%20of%20Work_Deloitte.pdf> [Last accessed: 9 June 2020].

14 Nicholas Kaldor, ‘Alternative Theories of Distribution’, The Review of Economic Studies, 23, no. 2 (1956), pp. 83-100.

15 Rema Hana, Dispelling the Myth of Welfare Dependency, 9 August 2019 <https://epod.cid.harvard.edu/article/dispelling- myth-welfare-dependency> [Last accessed: 9 June 2020]

16 Ha-Joon Chang, 23 Things They Don’t Tell You About Capitalism (London: Penguin, 2011). This conclusion holds, irrespective of confounding variables.

17 Raghuram Rajan, Fault Lines (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2011).

18 Progressive income taxation is taken to be a tax scheme applied to a monetary (income) base, whereby the marginal tax rate rises in proportion with said base.

19 Martin Feldstein, ‘The Effect of Marginal Tax Rates on Taxable Income: a Panel Study of the 1986 Tax Reform Act’, The Journal of Political Economy, 103, no. 3 (1996), pp. 551-572.

20 Jon Gruber and Emmanuel Saez, ‘The elasticity of taxable income: evidence and implications’, Journal of Public Economics, 84, no. 1 (2002), pp. 1-32.

21 Nigel Morris, ‘Frank Field: Universal credit is so badly designed it traps families in poverty’, iNews, 15 September 2017.

22 Hugh Dalton, Principles of Public Finance (Oxford: Routledge, 1922).

23 John Hills, Good Times, Bad Times (Bristol: Bristol University Press, 2017).

Notably, ‘fiscal sustainability’ need not equate to ‘balancing the budget’, particularly today, with long-term interest rates the lowest in recorded history. Part of the confusion over deficits comes from treating welfare expenditure as consumption as opposed to investment which brings returns through the multiplier effect, productivity improvements and the avoidance of further costs to the state (healthcare or rent and council tax arrears, for example). The now-discredited Reinhardt and Rogoff study is another contributing factor.

24Tracy Shildrick, Robert MacDonald, Andy Furlong, Johann Roden and Robert Crow, Are Cultures of Worklessness Passed Down Through Generations? (London: Joseph Rowntree Foundation, 2012). In this major study, the Joseph Rowntree Foundation failed to identify a single family in the UK where worklessness had persisted for three or more generations and found that those who were long-term unemployed remained committed to the value of work.

25 Era Dabla-Norris, Kalpana Kochhar, Frantisek Ricka, Nujin Suphaphiphat, and Evridiki Tsounta, Causes and Consequences of Income Inequality: A Global Perspective (Washington: International Monetary Fund, 2015).

26 Edward Wolff, ‘Inheritances and Wealth Inequality, 1989-1998’, American Economic Review, 92, no. 2 (2002), pp. 260-264.

27 Joseph Stiglitz, ‘Notes on Estate Taxes, Redistribution and the Concept of Balanced Growth Path Incidence’, Journal of Political Economy, 86, no. 2 (1978), pp. 137-150.

28 Mikael Elinder, Oscar Erixson and Daniel Waldenstrom, Inheritance and Wealth Inequality: Evidence from Population Registers (London: Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2016).

29 The Editorial Board, ‘Why the UK’s inheritance tax needs to be reformed’, The Financial Times, 12 July 2019.

30 Tobin taxation can therefore be considered a progressive policy and falls within the category of ‘forced redistribution’. 31 Ben Patterson and Mickal Galliano, The Feasibility of an International “Tobin Tax” (Luxembourg: European Parliament, 1999).

32 Chris Rhodes, Financial services: contribution to the UK economy (London: House of Commons Library, 2019).

33 Pierre Chaigneau, The Tobin Tax, 10 July 2011 <https://www.next-finance.net/The-Tobin-tax> [Last accessed: 10 June 2020].

34 Ibid.

35 Allan Meltzer and Scott Richard, ‘A Rational Theory of the Size of Government’, Journal of Political Economy, 89, no.1 (1981), pp. 914-1927.

36 Valentino Larcinese, ‘Voting over Redistribution and the Size of the Welfare State: The Role of Turnout’, Political Studies, 55, no. 3 (2007), pp. 568-585.

37 Michael Norton, David Neal, Cassandra Govan, Dan Ariley and Elise Holland, ‘The Not-So-Common-Wealth of Australia: Evidence for a Cross-Cultural Desire for a More Equal Distribution of Wealth’, Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 14, no. 1 (2014), pp. 339-351.

38 World Economic Forum, The Future of Jobs Report (Geneva: World Economic Forum, 2018).

39 Hans Moravec, Mind Children (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1988).

40 Pierre Bourdieu and Jean-Claude Passeron, ‘Cultural Reproduction and Social Reproduction’, in Jerome Karabel and Albert Halsey (eds), Power and Ideology in Education (New York: Oxford University Press, 1977), pp. 487-511. Suggestions range from Johnsonite infrastructure investment to Corbynite company restructuring.

41 In Capital vol. 1 Marx writes that alongside generating intolerable levels of ‘misery, oppression, slavery, degradation and oppression’, the concentration of wealth poses ‘a fetter upon the laws of production’. For the reasons outlined in the first section of this essay, we might consider this to be among his most prescient claims.

Bibliography

Acocella, Nicola, The Foundations of Economic Policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000.

Bourdieu, Pierre and Passeron, Jean-Claude, ‘Cultural Reproduction and Social Reproduction’, in Jerome Karabel and Albert Halsey (eds), Power and Ideology in Education. New York: Oxford University Press, 1977, pp. 487-511.

Chaigneau, Pierre, The Tobin Tax, 10 July 2011 <https://www.next-finance.net/The-Tobin-tax> [Last accessed: 10 June 2020].

Chang, Ha-Joon, 23 Things They Don’t Tell You About Capitalism. London: Penguin, 2011.

Dabla-Norris, Era, Kochhar, Kalpana, Ricka, Frantisek, Suphaphiphat, Nujin and Tsounta, Evridiki Causes and Consequences of Income Inequality: A Global Perspective. Washington: International Monetary Fund, 2015.

Dalton, Hugh, Principles of Public Finance. Oxford: Routledge, 1922.

Editorial Board, ‘Why the UK’s inheritance tax needs to be reformed’, The Financial Times, 12 July 2019.

Elinder, Mikael, Erixson, Oskar and Waldenstrom, Daniel, Inheritance and Wealth Inequality: Evidence from Population Registers. London: Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2016.

Elliott, Larry, ‘Unemployment due to Covid-19 is surely worth more than a footnote.’ The Guardian, 10 May 2020.

Feldstein, Martin, ‘The Effect of Marginal Tax Rates on Taxable Income: a Panel Study of the 1986 Tax Reform Act’, The Journal of Political Economy, 103, no. 3 (1996), pp. 551-572.

Foucault, Michel, The Birth of Biopolitics: Lectures at the College de France, 1978-1979. London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008.

Hacker, Jacob, The Great Risk Shift. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008. Hana, Rema, Dispelling the Myth of Welfare Dependency, 9 August 2019 <https://epod.cid.harvard.edu/article/dispelling-myth-welfare-dependency > [Last accessed: 9 June 2020]

Hills, John, Good Times, Bad Times. Bristol: Bristol University Press, 2017.

Kaldor, Nicholas, ‘Alternative Theories of Distribution’, The Review of Economic Studies, 23, no. 2 (1956), pp. 83-100.

Larcinese, Valentino, ‘Voting over Redistribution and the Size of the Welfare State: The Role of Turnout’, Political Studies, 55, no. 3 (2007), pp. 568-585.

Leaders, ‘Big tech is thriving in the midst of the recession’, The Economist, 2 May 2020.

Leigh, Andrew, Jencks, Christopher and Smeeding, Timothy, ‘Health and Economic Inequality’, in Wiemer Salverda, Brian Nolan and Timothy Smeeding (eds), The Oxford Handbook of Economic Inequality. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2009.

Norton, Michael, Neal, David, Govan, Cassandra, Ariley Dan, and Holland, Elise, ‘The Not-So-Common-Wealth of Australia: Evidence for a Cross-Cultural Desire for a More Equal Distribution of Wealth’, Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 14, no. 1 (2014), pp. 339-351.

Marx, Karl, Capital: a Critique of Political Economy v.1. London: Penguin Classics, 1990.

Meltzer, Allan and Richard, Scott, ‘A Rational Theory of the Size of Government’, Journal of Political Economy, 89, no.1 (1981), pp. 914-1927.

Moravec, Hans, Mind Children. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1988.

Morris, Nigel, ‘Frank Field: Universal credit is so badly designed it traps families in poverty’, iNews, 15 September 2017.

Patterson, Ben and Galliano, Mickal, The Feasibility of an International “Tobin Tax.” Luxembourg: European Parliament, 1999.

Piketty, Thomas, Capital in the Twenty First Century. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2014. Rajan, Raghuram, Fault Lines. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2011.

Rhodes, Chris, Financial services: contribution to the UK economy. London: House of Commons Library, 2019.

Rowlingson, Karen, Does Income Inequality Cause Health and Social Problems? York: Joseph Rowntree Foundation, 2011. <https://www.jrf.org.uk/sites/default/files/jrf/migrated/files/inequality-income-social- problems-full.pdf>

Roy, Indranil, Future of Work: an Introduction, January 2019 <https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/it/Documents/humancapital/Future%20of%20Work_Delo itte.pdf> [Last accessed: 9 June 2020].

Shildrick, Tracy, MacDonald, Robert, Furlong, Andy, Roden, Johann and Crow, Robert, Are Cultures of Worklessness Passed Down Through Generations? London: Joseph Rowntree Foundation, 2012.

Srnicek, Nick, Platform Capitalism. Cambridge: Polity Press, 2016.

Stiglitz, Joseph, ‘Notes on Estate Taxes, Redistribution and the Concept of Balanced Growth Path Incidence’, Journal of Political Economy, 86, no. 2 (1978), pp. 137-150. Stiglitz, Joseph, The Price of Inequality. London: Penguin, 2013.

Vandermoortele, Jan, ‘Inequality and Gresham’s Law: the bad drives out the good’, Unpublished thinkpiece for the UN in China, March 2013. <https://wess.un.org/archive/2015/wp- content/uploads/2015/02/dps_paper_vandemoortele.pdf>

Wilkinson, Richard and Pickett, Kate, The Inner Level. London: Penguin Books, 2018.

Wilkinson, Richard and Pickett, Kate, The Spirit Level: Why Equality is Better for Everyone. London: Penguin Books, 2009.

Wolff, Edward, ‘Inheritances and Wealth Inequality, 1989-1998’, American Economic Review, 92, no. 2 (2002), pp. 260-264.

World Economic Forum, The Future of Jobs Report. Geneva: World Economic Forum, 2018.

2020年经济学三等奖

What is the socially efficient level of crime? (Professor Daniel d’Amico, Brown University)

犯罪的社会效率水平是多少?(布朗大学丹尼尔·达米科教授)

Jaimin Shah,英国爱德华六世国王文法学校
2020年经济学奖第三名 |7 分钟阅读

Nelson Mandela once said, “when a man is denied the right to live the life he believes in, he has no choice but to become an outlaw[1].” It is on this belief that neoclassical economics is firmly founded – the rationale that all economic agents within the market mechanism behave rationally. Consumers are indirectly seeking to maximise utility, firms (whilst upholding their philanthropic Corporate Social Responsibility[2]) are working to elevate their profits and the government is attempting to satisfy macroeconomic targets ranging from equity and equality (an alleviation on the Gini Coefficient[3] for the latter), to international trade and income redistribution. Law-breakers fulfil the first of these three maximisation objectives and so are part of the trio of economic agents as well – they are integrated into the society around us. Despite particular causes of crime being irrational, such as the erratic behaviour associated with addiction (meaning a nuanced, non-zero optimum is required here, preserving a nation’s productive potential), the fundamental principle of informed decision-making (intrinsic cost-benefit analyses) means that this ‘socially efficient’ level of crime exists and can be estimated, as will be demonstrated below.

To begin with, it seems appropriate to graphically and intuitively prove that this so-called ‘social optimum’ de facto exists. One can simplify the overarching problem to a matter of market failure – whereby there is a misallocation of resources in the economy causing a divergence between marginal social cost (MSC) and marginal social benefit (MSB). It is due to this interpretation of crime, that one can associate it with causing negative externalities in production (an external cost to a third party, when a good or service is created, not reflected in market prices). The good or service in this case is (quite abstractly) violent crime in particular. Taking the broad example of bank robberies, Maj Hansen and Ask Elklit found that around 15% of the sample in their seminal research paper suffered from probable ‘acute stress disorder’ after the occurrence of the deeply unfortunate event[4]. Moreover, this can even be extended to Post Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), where an investigation carried out by Italian doctor G. P. Fichera, led to the conclusion that 13% of the sampling units were likely to have this condition[5]. Initiating economic analysis here, this illustrates that the cost of embarking on this unlawful activity, given the monumental repercussions if caught (the marginal private cost, MPC), is not equal to the costs to society (in terms of MSC) given the ‘collateral damage’ and severe emotional trauma the unlucky few unfortunately have to endure – this leads to psychiatric costs and counselling, increasing the disbenefits the state as a whole experiences. As a result, one can ascertain that negative externalities in production (where MSC > MPC) are clearly present in this scenario and thus in the more general case of aggregate-level crime too. Inspecting Figure 1, one can see that MPC (called PMC in this case) is at a lower level than MSC (SMC here) and hence the market is at equilibrium P1Q1 as opposed to P2Q2 (the latter of which is allocative efficiency, where MSC = MSB). Consequently, a socially efficient level of consumption does de jure exist in this sub-market (the aforementioned allocative efficiency). If this is achieved, the shaded deadweight loss (net welfare loss) to society would be eliminated and so the optimum would be reached, implying there could be a more quantitative-based answer to this discussion.

Now that it seems evident that there is a precise level of crime that would be socially efficient (as shown previously by mapping this macroeconomic variable as having negative externalities in production), one should consider the causes of crime with a more general view to quantify this problem. Moreover, the ‘Chicago School Social Disorganisation Theory’ is one of the leading conjectures put forward to attempt to explain criminal behaviour. Clifford Shaw and Henry McKay (the major proponents) suggested that crime was a function of neighbourhood interactions and was not due to individuals and their actions entirely[6]. This links to another contemporary theory first developed by Emile Durkheim and Robert Merton entitled ‘Anomie Theory’ or ‘Strain Theory’ whereby the violent distaste for significant gaps between the wealthiest and the poorest induce a crime-seeking incentive[7]. Both of these ideas put the burden of the blame on the surrounding environment for concocting criminals into our modern-day society. Considering the aforementioned Gini Coefficient (calculated as area

𝐴

------

𝐴+𝐵)

and its accompanying Lorenz Curve (see Figure 2), the 2018 value for this was found to be 0.35 (where 0 is perfect equality and so 1 is perfect inequality) by the ONS[8]. What this illustrates is that, the emphasis Strain Theory and equivalent psychological explanations put on society for creating stark material-income divisions, means that a socially efficient level of crime would have to be individualised; this would take into account the cause, motive, severity and so on, as certain wrongdoings due to difficult personal circumstances (inequity and inequality) may be thought to be more morally acceptable than others. Perhaps more leniency can thus be attributed to this niche over the aforementioned violent crime situation. This means that the socially efficient level of crime should be bespoke to account for these underlying reasons and would not simply be one concrete statistic that encompasses the entire economy.

Utilising this logic further, it is apposite to briefly analyse the problem of addiction within crime itself to determine what form of social optimum would be best in this specific case. Taking the market for cocaine as an example, this is a good that is classically thought to have a highly inelastic demand where the price elasticity of demand (responsiveness of quantity demanded to a change in the price of the product) is mathematically between 0 and -1 (non-inclusive). This is due to the good being habit-forming for some consumers but more profoundly addictive for others. This can be clearly demonstrated in Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner’s book ‘Freakonomics’ where these two economists carried out a statistical investigation into the substantial effects of ‘crack cocaine’ on the African American community in Bogotá, Colombia. The obsession with taking and selling this Class A drug led to a quadruple in homicides rates amongst young urban males of this ethnic community in 5 years[9] – even statistical investigations highlight this association of addiction to cocaine. Moreover, Figure 3 conveys this relationship in the ‘RAND model for cocaine[10] in the USA’ – supply is thought to be highly elastic due to the volume of cocaine in circulation (during the reign of the Medellín Cartel 15 tonnes of this drug was entering the USA daily[11]) and demand has a shape reminiscent of a ‘rectangular hyperbola’ due to the fact that at high prices, only the addicted households remain with a virtually perfectly price inelastic demand. To convey this addiction to be irrational (and so the social optimum would have to be approached cautiously), one can model the experienced utility (actual utility) versus the decision utility (utility thought to be experienced when making consumption decisions). Using the assumption of quasi-linearity (where good 𝑥 is cocaine and 𝑚 comprises of all other goods in the market system), take the following hypothetical functions to model addiction (using econometric tools from Caltech[12]):

  • 𝑈𝐸𝑈(𝑥, 𝑚) = 𝐵𝐸𝑈(𝑥) + 𝑚 = 2√𝑥 + 𝑚 (where 𝑈𝐸𝑈 represents experienced utility and 𝐵𝐸𝑈(𝑥) is the actual benefit associated with consuming 𝑥 units of cocaine).

  • 𝑈𝐷𝑈(𝑥, 𝑚) = 𝐵𝐷𝑈(𝑥) + 𝑚 = 20√𝑥 + 𝑚 (where 𝑈𝐷𝑈 represents decision utility and 𝐵𝐷𝑈(𝑥) is the benefit thought to be associated with consuming 𝑥 units of cocaine).

Hence using these hypothetical quasi-linear utility functions (simply to model addiction to cocaine at a basic, univariate level), one would be attempting to maximise 𝑈𝐸𝑈 and 𝑈𝐷𝑈. Therefore, the maximisation problems can be written as below and solved as follows:

  • 𝑚𝑎𝑥𝑥≥0 𝐵𝐸𝑈(𝑥) − 𝑝𝑥 = 2√𝑥 − 𝑝𝑥 (where 𝑝𝑥 is simply the cost with purchasing 𝑥 units of cocaine). Therefore, the optimal quantity is equal to 𝑝2 (this is 𝑥𝑜𝑝𝑡).

  • 𝑚𝑎𝑥𝑥≥0 𝐵𝐷𝑈(𝑥) − 𝑝𝑥 = 20√𝑥 − 𝑝𝑥 (where 𝑝𝑥 is simply the cost with purchasing 𝑥 units of cocaine). Therefore, the actual quantity (as the consumer will demand 100 according to their perceptions and not the de facto optimum) is equal to (this is 𝑝2𝑥∗(𝑝)).

Therefore, one can see the issue of addiction purely mathematically in this supposed scenario – irrationality is present as 𝑥𝑜𝑝𝑡 ≠ 𝑥∗(𝑝), and due to 𝑥𝑜𝑝𝑡 < 𝑥∗(𝑝), the so-called addict places a much higher value on cocaine consumption than the actual utility derived from it and so consumes proportionally more than the ‘optimum’. Relating addiction to the socially efficient level of crime, one could thus potentially argue that this optimum (allocative efficiency) would have to remain fairly high (perhaps around 60-70% of current levels). This is due to these forms of crime being significantly entrapping for one’s body and psyche (𝑥∗(𝑝) is 100 times greater than 𝑥𝑜𝑝𝑡 in the simple, aforementioned model) and so any attempt to reduce these crimes further, may lead to unintended consequences. These include exacerbations in income distribution (given the virtually perfectly price inelastic demand for cocaine at high prices in the ‘RAND model’) and a degradation of the productive capacity in the economy (especially due to the fact that many casual consumers are those in significantly higher-stress vocations[13], e.g. banking). The latter would lead to a decrease in the factor of production of labour (given the extent of UK cocaine usage and thus potential addiction – 4.2% of UK adults[14]) in the economy hence leading to an inwards shift of the aggregate production possibility curve (see Figure 4 – convex to illustrate the laws of increasing opportunity cost and diminishing marginal returns). This causes long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) to shift leftwards and aggregate demand (AD) to experience a contraction (using the Monetarist viewpoint instead of Keynesian here, where LRAS is perfectly price inelastic at the ‘natural rate of output’) – one can see on Figure 5 that real GDP decreases from Y-Y’ and price level increases from P-P’ consequently going against two macroeconomic objectives of long-run economic growth and price stability (2% for the CPI in the UK).

Taking these propelled, serious consequences into account, one can make a judgment about the socially efficient level for crime more generally using a ‘differential diagnosis’ (coined by Professor Jeffrey Sachs but now for criminological economics rather than development economics[15]). Taking into account ‘Social Disorganisation Theory’ and ‘Strain Theory’, the social optimum for misdemeanour offences should remain relatively close to the levels they are at in present day (perhaps 70-80% of the current summation of offences). This is due to low-level infringements aiding to provide subsistence for the judiciary system (e.g. projected increases in the Ministry of Justice’s budget to $8.1bn in 2020-21[16]) and their relative seriousness in comparison to the rest of aggregate crime, being minimal. Given that the police and defence forces are ‘economic goods’ (scare resources), comparatively less assets should be devoted here. Regarding the aforementioned issue of addiction, especially excessive, irrational cocaine usage, 60-70% of current levels would likely bring about a social optimum as conveyed above. Finally, in terms of wrongdoings that carry more gravitas, such as the previously displayed emotional consequences of bank robberies or the cocaine- fuelled quadruple in homicide rates amongst African Americans in Bogotá (within half a decade), the social optimum for these crimes should be as close to zero as humanely possible. Although Alasdair MacIntyre’s thoughts about Kant’s Categorical Imperative can rather tenuously justify crime for basic, humanitarian needs[17], it is evidently not socially, economically, morally or ethically acceptable for forms of violent crime to exist on a large scale and hence, internalising the significant externalities for these ‘crimes against humanity’ should attempt to eliminate this market altogether. This would not only be socially and economically efficient (in terms of an eliminated deadweight loss to society intertwined with improved scarce resource allocation) but would also be socially sustainable thus paving the way for generations present and generations to come.

Author's Note

My approach to this question was simple – I desired to simplify and breakdown the problem into something more manageable and more quantifiable. Due to the word constraint, it was not feasible to analyse every type of crime (white-collar, murder, arson, assault etc.) in detail, and hence I decided to split the overarching theme into three sub-sections as is demonstrated in the paper below. The use of hypothetical econometric analysis further on in the paper is simply designed to provide a deeper understanding of the issue being discussed at the time. It is not based on real-life observation, experimentation and data collection but serves the purpose to reiterate my argument and overall line of reasoning, in a different, niche, mathematical way (contrasting to the nature of the question which is open-ended and broad).

Footnotes

1 GoodReads [internet]. Nelson Mandela Quotes; 2020. Available from: https://www.goodreads.com/author/quotes/367338.Nelson_Mandela

2 Forbes [internet]. Why CSR? The Benefits of Corporate Social Responsibility Will Move You to Act; 2013 May 12. Available from: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/devinthorpe/2013/05/18/why- csr-the-benefits-of-corporate-social-responsibility-will-move-you-to-act/amp/

3 Economy [internet]. The Gini-coefficient: How do we measure inequality? Available from: https://www.ecnmy.org/learn/your-society/the-question-of-equality/the-gini-coefficient-how-do-we- measure-inequality/

4 Hansen M, Elklit A. Predictors of acute stress disorder in response to bank robbery. European Journal of Psychotraumatology, 2:1, p. 5864. 2011 May 12.

5 Fichera G.P. et al. Post-traumatic Stress Disorder among bank employee victims of robbery. Occupational Medicine, vol. 65, issue 4, pp. 283-89. 2015 June.

6 Porter, Jeremy & Capellan, Joel & Chintakrindi, Sriram. The Encyclopaedia of Crime & Punishment, p. 1179. 2015 December 28.

7 Agnew R. Encyclopaedia of social problems; Strain Theory. Thousand Oaks: SAGE publications, pp. 904-906. 2008.

8 Office for National Statistics. Household income inequality, UK: financial year ending 2019, p. 4. 2020 March 3.

9 Levitt SD, Dubner SJ. Freakonomics. 4th Ed. Penguin Random House UK; p. 112. 2015.

10 Manski CF, Pepper JV, Thomas YF. Assessment of Two Cost-Effectiveness Studies on Cocaine Control Policy, p. 9; National Research Council. National Academic Press, Washington DC. 1999.

11 Independent [internet]. 10 facts reveal the absurdity of Pablo Escobar’s wealth. Business Insider. 2017 December 2017. Available from: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/people/pablo-escobar-worth-wealth-money- how-much-a8133141.html%3famp

12 Caltech [internet]. Principles of Economics with Calculus; online course, EDX. 2020 January 7. Available from: https://www.edx.org.uk/course/principles-of-economics-with-calculus

13 The Guardian [internet]. Confessions from the City: why firms are failing to tackle the cocaine crisis. 2017 September 9. Available from: https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/society/2017/sep/09/city-firms-failing-to-tackle- cocaine-crisis

14 The Guardian [internet]. Confessions from the City: why firms are failing to tackle the cocaine crisis. 2017 September 9. Available from: https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/society/2017/sep/09/city-firms-failing-to-tackle- cocaine-crisis

15 Sachs J. The End of Poverty; how we can make it happen in our lifetime. 1st Ed, Penguin Books Ltd, p. 273, 2005.

16 HM Treasury [internet]. Policy Paper – Spending Round 2019. UK Government. 2019 September 4. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spending-round-2019-document/spending-round-2019

17 Dimmock M, Fisher A. AQA Philosophy and OCR Religious Studies; Chapter 11 – Stealing in Ethics. Open Book Publishers. 2017.

Bibliography

Agnew R. Encyclopaedia of social problems; Strain Theory. Thousand Oaks: SAGE publications, pp. 904-906. 2008.

Fichera G.P. et al. Post-traumatic Stress Disorder among bank employee victims of robbery. Occupational Medicine, vol. 65, issue 4, pp. 283-89. 2015 June.

Hansen M, Elklit A. Predictors of acute stress disorder in response to bank robbery. European Journal of Psychotraumatology, 2:1, p. 5864. 2011 May 12.

Levitt SD, Dubner SJ. Freakonomics. 4th Ed. Penguin Random House UK; p. 112. 2015.

Manski CF, Pepper JV, Thomas YF. Assessment of Two Cost-Effectiveness Studies on Cocaine Control Policy, p. 9; National Research Council. National Academic Press, Washington DC. 1999.

Office for National Statistics. Household income inequality, UK: financial year ending 2019, p. 4. 2020 March 3.

Porter, Jeremy & Capellan, Joel & Chintakrindi, Sriram. The Encyclopaedia of Crime & Punishment, p. 1179. 2015 December 28.

Sachs J. The End of Poverty; how we can make it happen in our lifetime. 1st Ed, Penguin Books Ltd, p. 273, 2005.

2020年经济学奖一等奖

What is the socially efficient level of crime?

犯罪的社会效率水平是多少?

拉斐尔·孔特,威廉·博拉斯爵士文法学校,英国
2020年经济学奖得主|10 分钟阅读

In this essay, it is argued that the socially efficient level of crime is actually significantly above nil, despite rampant social costs, due to the necessary trade-off between prevention expenditure and costs inflicted by crimes, as well as the potential beneficial effects of crime.[1] However, it must be recognised that there is no ‘simple relationship’ between crime and social costs derived from it, although cost-benefit analysis supplemented by case studies provides an indication.[2] Firstly, there are the social costs of crime with an added opportunity cost dimension. Secondly, there are prevention costs followed by the potential social benefits. Finally, the use of fines may help to determine a socially efficient level. Here, crime refers to various acts that imply a transgression of social norms and are punishable by law, from financial crimes to homicide, although naturally “crime” can have varying definitions, within different legal systems.

In this context, ‘social efficiency’ can be characterised as taking all the consequences of crime on all economic agents into consideration.[3] Specifically, social efficiency can be defined as: marginal social costs totalling marginal social benefits (MSC=MSB) with social costs divided into preemptive prevention costs and the social costs of the crimes expenditure and costs inflicted by crimes, as well as the potential beneficial effects of crimes themselves.[4] Therefore, in order to minimise overall social costs, the marginal cost of preventing crime should equal the marginal social cost of crime (MCp=MSC). If MCp>MSC of crime, then crimes are more costly to prevent than allowing them to occur, thus contributing to a higher overall social cost. Contrastingly, if MCp<MSC, then crime could have been prevented at a lower social cost than the social cost inflicted by the crime.

However, it can be argued that the socially efficient level of crime is nil as it is ‘the primary source of inefficiency in the economy,’ effectively ‘bypassing the market.’[5] [6]Principally, external costs involved in crime can be so considerable that it should not be present at all. This includes costs attached to crime which can be divided into apprehension, conviction and punishment costs.[7] Firstly, apprehension costs can be estimated using UK police spending, which was £14,063m in 2019-20. [8]Secondly, average unit conviction costs range from £200 for commercial theft to £800,980 for homicide. [9]Thirdly, incarceration cost the taxpayer £2,753,747,261 in the UK in 2015, i.e. £32,510 per prisoner. [10]In 2018-19, the total Ministry of Justice operating expenditure was £10 billion, with an income of £1.6 billion.[11] Similar statistics in the US are even more alarming with criminal justice system expenditure in 2012 amounting to $210 billion.[12] Such sums exemplify the huge social costs of crime, suggesting that the optimum level is close to nil, if not absolute zero.

Additionally, there are considerable social costs as consequences of crime, such as the lost output of crime victims. For example, in the UK, the average cost of lost productivity for violent crime victims is £2,060 (5 hours off work and 36 reduced productivity hours).[13] The same rationale can be used to estimate the social costs of crime regarding healthcare costs. For the same crime, average unit costs of healthcare amount to £920.[14] Moreover, there are also large anticipatory and reactionary social costs, notably defensive precautions taken by potential victims. This includes a range of measures such as insurance, locks, doors, private CCTV and alarms, with UK cost estimates ranging from £3bn to £4bn to around £25bn.’[15] This allocation of resources to hinder crime naturally inflicts significant monetary and psychological costs to society, although it does provide employment and other economic benefits. Similarly, resources used to commit a crime also represent costs to society.[16] [17]Here, an opportunity cost dimension must be added to fully capture the argument.[18] Principally, the criminals’ human and physical capital could have been utilised to contribute to the productive potential of the economy, creating potential social gains instead of inflicting high social costs through crime. This opportunity cost also includes the resources expended by potential victims to protect themselves from crime. The next best alternative may have been expenditure on goods and services to improve real living standards.

However, it can also be argued that the socially efficient level of crime is relatively high because resources allocated towards prevention can generate an even greater burden on society than if some crimes were allowed to occur (MCp<MSC). This is corroborated by Friedman stating that ‘theft is inefficient, but spending $100 to prevent a $10 theft is more inefficient.’[19] The following analysis can be divided into the high monetary and non-monetary costs of prevention.

On a monetary level, such high costs would take the form of expenditure on human and physical resources such as enhanced police presence and surveillance. Although this creates employment, an opportunity cost is still presented. In order to estimate the expenditure required to bring crime levels close to 0, the example of Singapore can be used where high penalties are coupled with high policing expenditure of over $200 US per capita[20] to achieve a relatively low crime rate of 617 per 100,000 with an intentional homicide rate of 0.7 per 100,000.[21] [22]This also implies that innumerable resources would be required to achieve a point where crime was virtually nil, inflicting even greater social costs through taxation than the crimes themselves.

Non-monetary costs of prevention also suggest that the socially efficient level of crime is well above nil. These social costs focus on the infringements of citizens’ rights and liberties, such as freedom of assembly and movement, which would undoubtedly be restricted by a police state seeking extremely low levels of crime. A relevant example for this is the former GDR where the Secret Police crushed crime and dissent through ‘increased social control, draconian state sanctions and reduced opportunity structures.’[23] However, this inevitably led to spiralling long-term social costs with recent articles stating that ‘memories of the police state continue to exact a profound psychological toll,’ even 30 years after German reunification.[24] As a consequence of the actions of the Stasi, psychologists have diagnosed various conditions, including post-traumatic stress disorder, anxiety and depression.[25] Overall, this case study demonstrates how efforts to reduce crime to very low levels tend to lead to far greater social costs than those actually created by crimes themselves. This example shows the lasting harm of such measures. Even if a more social-liberal rather than authoritarian approach was taken, as in Scandinavian countries, whereby the incentive to commit crime is reduced through redistributive measures, costs would remain high and crime would probably persist. Even today, economists argue that in the USA, ‘spending less on policing would increase social welfare.[26]

However, the idea that prevention is better than cure can also be applied with regard to crime. Although it is very difficult to calculate the social benefit stemming from preventative measures, a study of CCTV (closed-circuit television) suggests that the trade-off between infringement on civil rights and liberties and reducing crime is not as great as commonly perceived. Firstly, it is accepted that ‘CCTV can, when properly implemented and monitored, be effective at reducing crime.’[27] However, Roman and Farrell also argue that ‘there is evidence that CCTV can be introduced without infringing upon people's freedoms.’[28] Similarly, the argument regarding the infringement on civil liberties is weakened by the fact that it is arguing ‘for a right to anonymously commit crime.’[29] Therefore, as technology develops, it can be argued that the trade-off between prevention and social costs created is becoming less applicable, suggesting that the socially efficient level will decrease in the long-term.

Secondly, it can be claimed that the socially efficient level of crime in some circumstances is perhaps surprisingly high, due to the potential social benefits. This is particularly significant in relation to redistributive crimes such as theft and fraud which are effectively transfer payments. From a utilitarian perspective, if some resources are reallocated from wealthier agents to poorer agents, then total utility for the overall population increases. This is explained by the law of diminishing marginal utility which states that less affluent agents have higher levels of marginal utility, i.e. an increase in their resources will dramatically improve living standards. If crime can have this effect, then this may be able to improve development outcomes. From a macroeconomic perspective, the transfer will increase consumption, a key component of aggregate demand (AD=C+I+G+(X-M)) (AD-AD1) due to poorer individuals’ higher marginal propensity to consume which could, in turn, lead to an expansion of GDP (Y-Y1). This suggests that a certain type and level of crime can lead to economic benefits. However, the net improvement is likely to be marginal and will reduce long-term consumption trends. From a microeconomic perspective, if a poor thief were more likely to purchase merit goods and the wealthy were more likely to buy demerit goods, then crime would be contributing to correcting market failures caused by negative externalities.

However, redistributive crimes are also committed by prosperous individuals and firms through tax evasion. Additionally, the proceeds of organised crime are unlikely to be invested in social capital but tend to be used to fund further crime. Moreover, crimes such as counterfeiting, ‘theft by false pretenses,’ can have significant social costs such as resulting demand-pull inflation and the inefficient use of resources required for counterfeiting, undermining the redistributive effect.[30] At the core of the redistributive argument, which states that the private benefits to the criminal partially negate the private cost, lies the ethical dilemma that the ‘criminal’s illicit gain should not count as a social benefit.’[31] Furthermore, if crime is allowed to rise to dangerous levels, then the incentive to accumulate wealth legally may erode, increasing the risk of capital and labour flight, inflicting vast social costs. To summarise, it is inefficient to allow ‘pure coercive transfers of wealth.’[32]

However, social costs can be minimised in many cases by applying fines, the most common form of punishment used today.[33] Primarily fines do not consume social resources, but act as a transfer payment. Acting as a Pigouvian tax, fines can internalise the externality and correct the inefficient outcomes caused by crime. This is illustrated by the diagram below, with the social optimum being: MPC+ fines = MSC. Moreover, fines may avoid an expensive prison system. ‘Indeed, fines are so cheap to administer that they yield a profit to the state.’[34] Overall, this suggests that minor offences sanctioned by fines generate a small social cost, supporting the argument that the socially efficient level is greater than nil. Alternatively, community service could be used more extensively to offset crime-induced social loss.

However, the use of fines to determine a socially efficient level of crime is ethically questionable,  inflicting  potentially  long-term  social  costs  as  they  ‘permit  offences  to be bought  for  a  price.’[35] Additionally,  debates arise as to how fines should be calculated, inevitably causing government failure and further inefficiencies. Furthermore, some crimes are arguably ‘so heinous that no amount of money could compensate for the harm inflicted,’ making fines unsuitable.[36] This also exposes further difficulties when attempting to establish a socially efficient level as the value is wholly dependent on the types of crime committed. However,  while redistributive crimes can imply some inefficiencies,  so-called  ‘efficien crimes’[37] do exist, suggesting that the social optimum is not absolute zero. Reasoned speeding is a common example used to justify this argument as there may be times where the potential cost of an accident is less than the benefits of speeding. However, this can be ethically doubtful, due to the subjectivity of this concept.

Overall, despite best attempts, crime is an inevitable social evil. Hence, instead of devoting more resources to combat it, increasing the burden on the taxpayer, criminal law should ensure that crime delivers as few social costs as possible through efficient punishments or perhaps through the legalisation of some acts such as the possession and supply of Class B drugs such as cannabis. Accordingly, the socially efficient level of crime varies according to the offence, but is perhaps greater than commonly assumed, although it is impossible to give a conclusive value.

C,R 1.png
C,R 2.png
C,R 3.png

Footnotes

1 Friedman, D., n.d. Crime. [online] Econlib. Available at: <https://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/Crime.html> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

2 Skogh, G. and Stuart, C., 1982. An Economic Analysis of Crime Rates, Punishment, and the Social Consequences of Crime. Public Choice, [online] 38(2), p.171. Available at: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/30023585?seq=1> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

3 Bohm, P., 1987. Social Efficiency: A Concise Introduction To Welfare Economics. 2nd ed. [ebook] London: Macmillan Education Ltd., p.xii. Available at: <https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/bfm%3A978-1-349-18786-7%2F1.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

4 Cooper, R. and Ulen, T., 2013. AN ECONOMIC THEORY OF CRIME AND PUNISHMENT CHAPTER 11. [ebook] Pearson, p.471. Available at: <http://web4.uwindsor.ca/users/m/mfc/41240.nsf/831fc2c71873e46285256d6e006c367a/10ff8b04ff3a317885256d88005720f6$FILE/C&U4thchpt11.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

5 Ferraz, E. and Soares, R., 2018. Socially Optimal Crime And Punishment. [ebook] p.13. Available at: <https://www.fea.usp.br/sites/default/files/anexoevento/socp_ferraz_soares.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

6 Posner, R., 1985. An Economic Theory of the Criminal Law. Columbia Law Review, [online] 85(6), p.1195. Available at: <https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/6448/aee7b1aaa0785667ee8f0ba4fb7e9fe0a3c0.pdf>.

7 Becker, G., 1968. Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach. Journal of Political Economy, [online] 76(2), p.207. Available at: <http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0022-3808(196803/04)76:2%3C169:CAPAEA%3E2.0.CO;2-I> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

8 Home Office, 2019. Police Funding For England & Wales 2015-2020 Statistical Bulletin. London, p.6.

9 Home Office, 2018. The Economic And Social Costs Of Crime Second Edition Research Report 99. London, p.58.

10 Ministry of Justice, 2016. Costs Per Place And Costs Per Prisoner By Individual Prison National Offender Management Service Annual Report And Accounts 2015-16 Management Information Addendum. London: Ministry of Justice Press Office, p.3.

11 House of Commons Library, 2019. The Spending Of The Ministry Of Justice Debate Pack. London, p.3.

12 Ferraz, E. and Soares, R., 2018. Socially Optimal Crime And Punishment. [ebook] p.1. Available at: <https://www.fea.usp.br/sites/default/files/anexo-evento/socp_ferraz_soares.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

13 Home Office, 2018. The Economic And Social Costs Of Crime Second Edition Research Report 99. London, p.42.

14 Ibid. p.46.

15 Ibid. p.23.

16 Skogh, G. and Stuart, C., 1982. An Economic Analysis of Crime Rates, Punishment, and the Social Consequences of Crime. Public Choice, [online] 38(2), p.171. Available at: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/30023585?seq=1> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

17 Ibid.

18 Cooper, R. and Ulen, T., 2013. AN ECONOMIC THEORY OF CRIME AND PUNISHMENT CHAPTER 11. [ebook] Pearson, p 471. Available at: <http://web4.uwindsor.ca/users/m/mfc/41240.nsf/831fc2c71873e46285256d6e006c367a/10ff8b04ff3a317885256d88005720f6/$FILE/C&U4thchpt11.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

19 Friedman, D., n.d. Crime. [online] Econlib. Available at: <https://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/Crime.html> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

20 Farrell, G. and Clark, K., 2004. WHAT DOES THE WORLD SPEND ON CRIMINAL JUSTICE?. [ebook] Helsinki: The European Institute for Crime Prevention and Control, p.16. Available at: <https://www.heuni.fi/material/attachments/heuni/papers/6KtlkZMtL/HEUNI_papers_20.pdf> [Accessed 13 May 2020].

21 Ibid.

22 Hirschmann, R., 2020. Singapore: Crime Rate 2019 | Statista. [online] Statista. Available at: <https://www.statista.com/statistics/628339/crime-rates-in-singapore/> [Accessed 13 May 2020].

23 Kury, H. and Smartt, U., 2001. The Changing Face Of Germany's Crime Rate Since Unification. [ebook] Centre for Crime and Justice Studies, p.47. Available at: <https://www.crimeandjustice.org.uk/sites/crimeandjustice.org.uk/files/09627250108553673.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

24 Bailey, C., 2019. The Lingering Trauma of Stasi Surveillance. The Atlantic, [online] Available at: <https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2019/11/lingering-trauma-east-german-police-state/601669/> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

25 Ibid.

26 Ferraz, E. and Soares, R., 2018. Socially Optimal Crime And Punishment. [ebook] p.31. Available at: <https://www.fea.usp.br/sites/default/files/anexo-evento/socp_ferraz_soares.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

27 Roman, J. and Farrell, G., n.d. COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS FOR CRIME PREVENTION: Opportunity Costs, Routine Savings And Crime Externalities. [ebook] pp.80, 81. Available at: <http://www.socialvalueuk.org/app/uploads/2016/03/cba%20for%20crim%20prevention.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

28 Roman, J. and Farrell, G., n.d. COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS FOR CRIME PREVENTION: Opportunity Costs, Routine Savings And Crime Externalities. [ebook] pp.80, 81. Available at: <http://www.socialvalueuk.org/app/uploads/2016/03/cba%20for%20crim%20prevention.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

29 Ibid.

30 Posner, R., 1985. An Economic Theory of the Criminal Law. Columbia Law Review, [online] 85(6), p.1198. Available at:

<https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/6448/aee7b1aaa0785667ee8f0ba4fb7e9fe0a3c0.pdf

31 Cooper, R. and Ulen, T., 2013. AN ECONOMIC THEORY OF CRIME AND PUNISHMENT CHAPTER 11. [ebook] Pearson,

p.471. Available at: <http://web4.uwindsor.ca/users/m/mfc/41-240.nsf/831fc2c71873e46285256d6e006c367a/10ff8b04ff3a317885256d88005720f6/

$FILE/C&U4thchpt11.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

32 Posner, R., 1985. An Economic Theory of the Criminal Law. Columbia Law Review, [online] 85(6), p.1196. Available at: <https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/6448/aee7b1aaa0785667ee8f0ba4fb7e9fe0a3c0.pdf

33 Becker, G., 1968. Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach. Journal of Political Economy, [online] 76(2), p.193. Available at: <http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0022-3808(196803/04)76:2%3C169:CAPAEA%3E2.0.CO;2-I> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

34 Cooper, R. and Ulen, T., 2013. AN ECONOMIC THEORY OF CRIME AND PUNISHMENT CHAPTER 11. [ebook] Pearson, p.474. Available at: <http://web4.uwindsor.ca/users/m/mfc/41-240.nsf/831fc2c71873e46285256d6e006c367a/10ff8b04ff3a317885256d88005720f6/

$FILE/C&U4thchpt11.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

35 Becker, G., 1968. Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach. Journal of Political Economy, [online] 76(2), p.196. Available at: <http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0022-3808(196803/04)76:2%3C169:CAPAEA%3E2.0.CO;2-I> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

36 Ibid.

37 Friedman, D., n.d. David Friedman, Price Theory: Chapter 20: The Economics Of Law And Law Breaking. [online] Daviddfriedman.com. Available at:

<http://www.daviddfriedman.com/Academic/Price_Theory/PThy_Chapter_20/PThy_Chapter_20.html> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

Bibliography

Becker, G., 1968. Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach. Journal of Political Economy, [online] 76(2), pp.191, 193, 196, 207. Available at:

<http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0022-3808(196803/04)76:2%3C169:CAPAEA%3E2.0.CO;2-I> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

Bohm, P., 1987. Social Efficiency: A Concise Introduction To Welfare Economics. 2nd ed. [ebook] London: Macmillan Education Ltd., p.xii. Available at:

<https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/bfm%3A978-1-349-18786-7%2F1.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

Cooper, R. and Ulen, T., 2013. AN ECONOMIC THEORY OF CRIME AND PUNISHMENT CHAPTER 11. [ebook] Pearson, pp.445, 47, 474. Available at:

<http://web4.uwindsor.ca/users/m/mfc/41-240.nsf/831fc2c71873e46285256d6e006c367a/10ff8b04ff3 a317885256d88005720f6/$FILE/C&U4thchpt11.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

Farrell, G. and Clark, K., 2004. WHAT DOES THE WORLD SPEND ON CRIMINAL JUSTICE?. [ebook] Helsinki: The European Institute for Crime Prevention and Control, p.16. Available at:

<https://www.heuni.fi/material/attachments/heuni/papers/6KtlkZMtL/HEUNI_papers_20.pdf> [Accessed 13 May 2020].

Ferraz, E. and Soares, R., 2018. Socially Optimal Crime And Punishment. [ebook] pp.1, 2, 13, 31. Available at: <https://www.fea.usp.br/sites/default/files/anexo-evento/socp_ferraz_soares.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

Friedman, D., n.d. Crime. [online] Econlib. Available at: <https://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/Crime.html> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

Friedman, D., n.d. David Friedman, Price Theory: Chapter 20: The Economics Of Law And Law Breaking. [online] Daviddfriedman.com. Available at:

<http://www.daviddfriedman.com/Academic/Price_Theory/PThy_Chapter_20/PThy_Chapter_20.html> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

Hirschmann, R., 2020. Singapore: Crime Rate 2019 | Statista. [online] Statista. Available at: <https://www.statista.com/statistics/628339/crime-rates-in-singapore/> [Accessed 13 May 2020].

Home Office, 2019. Police Funding For England & Wales 2015-2020 Statistical Bulletin. London, p.6.

Home Office, 2018. The Economic And Social Costs Of Crime Second Edition Research Report 99. London, pp. 23, 42, 46.

House of Commons Library, 2019. The Spending Of The Ministry Of Justice Debate Pack. London, p.3.

Ministry of Justice, 2016. Costs Per Place And Costs Per Prisoner By Individual Prison National Offender Management Service Annual Report And Accounts 2015-16 Management Information Addendum. London: Ministry of Justice Press Office, p.3.

Posner, R., 1985. An Economic Theory of the Criminal Law. Columbia Law Review, [online] 85(6), pp.1195, 1196, 1198. Available at: <https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/6448/aee7b1aaa0785667ee8f0ba4fb7e9fe0a3c0.pdf

Roman, J. and Farrell, G., n.d. COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS FOR CRIME PREVENTION: Opportunity Costs, Routine Savings And Crime Externalities. [ebook] pp.80, 81. Available at:

<http://www.socialvalueuk.org/app/uploads/2016/03/cba%20for%20crim%20prevention.pdf> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

Skogh, G. and Stuart, C., 1982. An Economic Analysis of Crime Rates, Punishment, and the Social Consequences of Crime. Public Choice, [online] 38(2), p.171. Available at:

<https://www.jstor.org/stable/30023585?seq=1> [Accessed 30 April 2020].

2019年政治奖一等奖

How much should we care about social cohesion?我们应该在多大程度上关心社会凝聚力?

Nayah Victoria Thu,挪威奥斯陆国际学校
2019年政治奖得主|7 分钟阅读

Introduction

In a world where our common future looks increasingly uncertain, humanity needs a measure of collective potential: social cohesion. Using GDP as a proxy for progress is outdated, as purely economic measures are neither sustainable nor sufficiently holistic. Academics have previously dismissed "additional indicators [as] a fundamentally political question" (Feigl, Hergovich and Rehm). However, social cohesion is neither “additional”, nor solely “political”. Instead, it provides a central focus for the necessary shift in global mindset away from perpetual economic growth. Social cohesion is imperative as humanity moves towards the ecological and societal sustainability embodied in initiatives such as the UN Sustainable Development Goals.

Referring to the “bonds” that hold society together, social cohesion can be defined as “the willingness of members of a society to cooperate with each other in order to survive and prosper” (Stanley). This concept was born of Emilie Durkheim’s attempt to define the quality lost during the “social erosion” of early industrialization. He baptized it the “consciousness collective; the belief held by citizens of a nation-state that they share a moral community, which enables them to trust each other” (Larsen). In the present day, Durkheim would notice striking parallels to his lifetime: great technological change in an increasingly connected yet polarized world. As Durkheim’s perspective can be used to defend forced homogeneity, his concept must evolve to reflect modern liberal values. The trusting community he mentions must originate organically in order to reach its full potential. While he refers to the “nationstate”, moving towards the ecological ceiling of our biosphere requires genuine cooperation on a much greater level. The infrastructure to improve measurements of cohesion should likewise be globally developed, encompassing factors such as: “life satisfaction, trust, prosocial behaviour, suicide and voter turnout” (OECD). Social cohesion’s utilitarian value lies in determining the factors necessary for the future prosperity of the human race.

Reimagining Development

Humanity needs to start measuring and appreciating the social qualities required to move into ecological and societal balance. In On Liberty, Mill argues for the ability of any person to do what they want provided they do not hurt others. Today, this capability to “hurt” includes future generations – redefining the individual as part of an interconnected system, where affecting others is the rule, not the exception. As “Identity is socially constructed” (World Bank), the independence and sense of fulfilment required for peace is only possible through the opportunities afforded by a socially cohesive state. It encompasses the social structure necessary for individual development and group identity, remaining deeply utilitarian in nature. It is a measure of “inclusion…trust… and mobility” (Fonesca, Lukosch and Brazier). Liberal values and cohesion are mutually supportive: respect of individual freedom makes people more willing to work together, and less likely to abuse others’ rights. In addition, the empathy and collaboration of a cohesive society increases altruism, serving general utility. Merely replacing “citizen” with “consumer” changed survey respondents’ values, causing “reduced social involvement” (Bauer, Wilkie and Kim). A holistic system to measure fulfilment and cooperation would be even more powerful than reversing this semantic change. It could transform the individual’s role from that of a narcissistic homo economicus to a cooperative member of humanity.

Cohesion and the State

Social cohesion provides a lens through which to objectively analyse the rise of countries culturally dissimilar to the West. It is a defining component of development, more important than historical similarities or differences. Locke justifies the state through tacit consent: the acceptance of state systems and benefits. High social cohesion measures citizens’ acceptance of and willingness to work with one another and the state, thus embodying tacit consent. As any country’s potential for development is contingent on its legitimacy and contemporary political situation, cohesion also constitutes the essence of sustainable growth. This sheds light on the significance of high trust levels present in China “across … the last couple of decades” (Ortiz-Ospina and Roser). The constituent elements of social cohesion, from prosocial behaviour to high voter turn-out, justify the Chinese government, enabling it to mobilize the population towards its common goals.

Although social cohesion is criticized as “vague enough to follow political meanderings” (Stanley), this applies to political misuse of the term, not its essence. Independently evaluating alleged social cohesion clarifies this distinction. In Greece, the “cost of protecting
insiders falls largely on ‘outsiders’” (The Economist), as the bloated public sector excludes younger citizens from economic participation. While undertaken in the name of cohesion, this leads to social stratification – eroding organic trust and undermining cooperative potential. Greece is blatantly misusing the term. Nevertheless, elements of social cohesion are open to interpretation. For example, Plotke questions whether competitive elections are the only valuable method of political representation. He broadens “representation” to include interest and “type” representation and “suggests that modern understandings of political representation are to some extent contingent on political realities” (Dovi). Explaining the importance of cohesive inclusion in representing a diverse society, he recommends analysing of contemporary political systems. Their effect on representation can be extended to their ability to support social cohesion. For example, within Western democracies, first-past-thepost and plurality systems are markedly different. The latter cultivates a culture of compromise, while the former, used in the UK and USA, is more divisive. Countries relying on a winner-takes-all system must strengthen their true cohesiveness or remain susceptible to partisan division. Any government desirous to retain power must understand the significance of social cohesion.

Focusing on social cohesion makes any state accountable for its citizens’ welfare, no matter the form of government. The feedback loops of political participation incentivize the incumbents to do more for their citizens. This is clearly shown in the democratic process of voting, as “average life satisfaction is significantly related to the vote share [of the incumbent party]” (Ward). If social cohesion were an accepted measure of success, it would incentivize authoritarian regimes like the government of Equatorial Guinea to polish their international image by developing their country and society, instead of chasing oligarchical economic gains, touting a deceptively high GDP per capita and “spending huge sums on public relations” (Birrell) to “prove” their development. The presence of moral norms, with the “expectations of a social contract backed up by public accountability” (Raworth 125) can have tangible effects on objective measures of welfare. A Ugandan hospital’s public noticeboard and results reporting led to “33% fewer children dying under the age of five” (125). Note that the phrase “social contract” is imperfect as it does not imply common ownership of solutions, unlike the inclusive concept of “society [as] a joint-stock company” (Emerson 3). Nevertheless, social cohesion can prevent a transactional, economic worldview, holding governments accountable for all their actions.

Cohesion and Development

Social cohesion within countries is paramount to measuring the potential for successful international aid. According to William Easterly, the IMF and World Bank’s efforts to fix long-term economic issues have been less successful than their crisis control. Attempting to forge societal development using economic tools, they block the “circuitous route to a free market” (Easterly). This route implies that social cohesion must grow organically to reach the minimum level of trusting co-operation required to implement economic plans. Working through corrupt governments, organizations cannot mobilize the population or increase vertical trust required for the country’s self-sufficiency. Willingness to cooperate must be present for economic tools to successfully encourage sustainable development.

Social cohesion can correspond to social homogeneity. Economically developed Botswana, unlike many African countries, has a dominate ethnic group, language and a relatively intact traditional hierarchy. Linguistic and social diversity pose a barrier to trusting interaction. They have a negative correlation with societal development as “Countries with high social capital…tend to be linguistically homogenous” (Prospero). Perceived cultural and linguistic norms allow for conversion of social capital into tangible benefits, as outlined by Bourdieu. However, Botswana is a case of naturally occurring homogeneity, comparable to monocultural countries like Japan and Iceland. Cultural homogeneity should be seen as a possible contributing factor to social cohesion, not a desirable end in itself.

Just as social cohesion’s value lies in serving general utility, homogeneity’s value lies solely in its ability to generate social cohesion. Utility is served by social inclusion; “The process of improving the ability, opportunity, and dignity of those disadvantaged on the basis of their identity to take part in society” (Bordia Das). Durkheim attempted to artificially recreate natural homogeneity. However, he mistakenly neglected to acknowledge that marginalizing minority groups strips social cohesion of its utilitarian value. Today, modern academics recognize that “[forced] social homogeneity may be detrimental to social cohesion” (Stanley). For instance, destabilizing legal initiatives to create social homogeneity leave minorities like the Rohingya “lack[ing] basic rights” (Blakemore). This diminishes incentives to cooperate, breeding a culture of fear inconducive to the trust that forms the essence of social cohesion. With the ensuing power imbalance, authoritarian states lack the fluidity to respond to threats to their social and group identity. Considering current migratory pressure and the importance of inclusion for utility, social homogeneity becomes an unworthy goal.

Our Common Humanity

Inter-group, pro-social behaviour is arguably a greater source of legitimate power than any monopoly on physical force. Bourdieu argues that owners of social capital could become much stronger if owners of economic capital did not pit them against each other. Though such solidarity is difficult to maintain, moments of collective human identity and purpose can inspire group action. Grassroot efforts, personified in protests like Occupy and Extinction Rebellion, are imperative in raising awareness of our shared humanity. Similarly, according to Roger Griffins, counter-movements in less cohesive states succeed because they rely on shared, inextinguishable moral ideas. These commonalities establish trust, increasing group efficacy. A tendency towards self-interest does not prevent unifying goals from nurturing the horizontal trust necessary for social cohesion.

Just as the technological change and inequality of the industrial revolution worried Durkheim, so should the current power of social media merit a greater focus on social cohesion. Social media algorithms confirm, not challenge, extremist views as various groups discuss complex issues “within politically homogeneous ‘echo chambers’” (University of Pennsylvania). This creates a dichotomy between collective human identity and divisive factions, accelerating polarization. However, "egalitarian social networks, in which no individual is more powerful than another” utilize the “remarkably strong effects of bipartisan social learning on eliminating polarization" (University of Pennsylvania). By refocusing, governments and media companies can not only accelerate, but also mitigate polarization. Even technicalities such as “the shade of blue and the size of buttons” (The Economist) greatly impact people’s
willingness to listen to each other and empathize with other groups. Social media can facilitate constructive interaction, as long as it aims to promote social cohesion.

Social cohesion is a fragile, long-term goal that requires a sense of our common future. Focusing on interaction and present similarities facilitates this understanding. Inter-group exchange enables cohesion to grow organically in a larger, inclusive moral community. It is infinitely preferable to denying the presence of minority groups or persecuting them in misguided attempts at creating homogeneity. Mill argued “The only people who need to concern themselves regularly about … society in general are those few whose actions have an influence that extends that far” (Mill 13). The interdependence of 21st century society means that every individual’s actions reverberate globally in some regard, solidifying the importance of a cohesive human identity and global awareness.

Conclusion

There is no single panacea for the challenges facing humanity. Solutions are not solely technological, political, economic or cultural, but complex webs of vertical and horizontal cooperative effort. Social cohesion is a crucial measure of our propensity to cooperate,
focusing on stability and holistic development as opposed to short-term economic gain. Only by appreciating its essence can we harness our collective potential to achieve harmony within the limits of our shared planet.

Bibliography

Bauer, Monika A., et al. "Cuing consumerism: situational materialism undermines personal and social well being." Psychological Science 16 March 2012: 517-523.

Birrell, Ian. The Observer: Equatorial Guinea. 23 October 2011. 27 July 2019. <https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/oct/23/equatorial-guinea-africa-corruptionkleptocracy>.

Blakemore, Erin. Who are the Rohyinga People? 8 February 2019. 13 July 2019. <https://www.nationalgeographic.com/culture/people/reference/rohingya-people/>.

Bordia Das, Maitreyi. Social Inclusion. n.d. 7 July 2019. <https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/socialinclusion>.

Dovi, Suzanne. "Political Representation." The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. Ed. Edward N. Zalta. Fall 2018. etaphysics Research Lab, Stanford University, 2018. 13 July 2019. <https://plato.stanford.edu/archives/fall2018/entries/political-representation/>.

Easterly, William. The White Man's Burden: Why the West's Effort's to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good. Penguin Random House, 2006.

Emerson, Ralph Waldo. "Self Reliance." Emerson, Ralph Waldo. Essays: First Series. 1841.

Feigl, George, Sven Hergovich and Miriam Rehm. "Beyond GDP: can we re-focus the debate?" Social developments in the European Union 2012. 2012. 63-89.

Fonesca, Javier, Stephan Lukosch and Frances Brazier. "Social cohesion revisited: a new definition and how to characterize it." Innovation: The European Journal of Social Science Research (2019): 231-253.

Larsen, Christian Albrekt. "Social cohesion: Definition, measurement and developments." Research Paper. n.d.

Mill, J.S. Utilitarianism. 1863.

OECD. "Social Cohesion Indicators." Society at a glance: Asia/Pacific 2011. OECD Publishing, 2012.

Ortiz-Ospina, Esteban and Max Roser. Trust. 2019. 28 July 2019. <https://ourworldindata.org/trust>.

Prospero. Social capital in the 21st century. 18 June 2015. 13 July 2019. <https://www.economist.com/prospero/2015/06/18/social-capital-in-the-21st-century>.

Raworth, Kate. The Doughnut Economy. Chelsea Green, 2017.

Stanley, Dick. "What Do We Know about Social Cohesion: The Research Perspective of the Federal Government's Social Cohesion Research Network." The Canadian Journal of Sociology / Cahiers Canadiens De Sociologie 28.1 (2003): 5–17.

The Economist. The Cruelty of Compassion. 28 January 2010. 17 July 2019. <https://www.economist.com/leaders/2010/01/28/the-cruelty-of-compassion>.

—. Whatsapp Suggests a Cure for Virality. 26 July 2018. 26 July 2019. <https://www.economist.com/leaders/2018/07/26/whatsapp-suggests-a-cure-for-virality>.

University of Pennsylvania. Can social media networks reduce political polarization on climate change? 3 September 2018. 22 July 2019. <https://phys.org/news/2018-09-social-medianetworks-political-polarization.html>.

Ward, George. Chapter 3: Happiness and Voting Behaviour. 20 March 2019. 28 July 2019. <https://worldhappiness.report/ed/2019/happiness-and-voting-behavior/>.

World Bank. Inclusion Matters: The Foundation for Shared Prosperity. Washington DC: World Bank, 2013.

2020年政治奖二等奖

Governments do a lot of things, such as collecting taxes and drafting people into the military, that we would object to individuals doing. Can this be justified?

政府做了很多事情,比如收税和征召人们参军,我们会反对个人这样做。这能合理吗?

Elizabeth Zhu,加拿大多伦多大学学校
2020年政治奖第二名|7 分钟阅读

Introduction

The political authority of governments rests on two grounds, both independent of each other: first it is justified on the basis of necessity, to protect citizens from a harmful state of nature, and second, on the basis of reciprocity and citizens’ normative duties to their government.

What do I defend in this essay? I argue that it is justified for democratically elected governments to impose reasonable costs on citizens to bring about societal good. These ‘reasonable costs’ fall under a set of criteria: a) they must not severely violate the basic rights of citizens b) they should be absolutely necessary as a means to fulfill the societal good c) on net, citizens should be made better able to exercise their rights and freedoms in the long term. For example, laws that enforce slavery or severely breach individuals’ privacy are excluded from the authority of governments. As Locke argued, the purpose of the state is to protect the ‘natural freedoms’ of individuals, including life, liberty and property rights (Locke). By extension, Joseph Raz argues that governments should only order citizens to do what they had prior reason to do (Raz). Thus, governments are justified only in enforcing just laws that protect the best interests of citizens in the long run, such as enforcing property rights, controlling borders, criminalizing hate speech, and punishing those who violate the law. Moreover, citizens have a reciprocal duty to obey these laws; though political authority differs from political obligation, the former implies the latter, and thus a defense of a duty to obey the law strengthens the justification for political authority.

Necessity and Securing Freedoms

First, governments have a right to impose certain demands on citizens out of necessity: to protect all citizens from an anarchic state of nature, particularly the most vulnerable. Take the absence of the examples stated in the prompt: without collecting taxes, governments would lack the funds to implement necessary public services and a functioning criminal justice system, and without military conscription, the state would be unable to properly defend itself from foreign attacks.

More broadly, without enforceable property and criminal laws, frequent conflicts and disagreements are likely to occur. Vigilante justice would replace a legitimate justice system, risking ineffective deterrence and biased punishments for perpetrators. In a brutish state of nature, individuals are unlikely to lead prosperous lives or pursue productive projects for fear of having the fruits of their labour stolen without consequence. Hobbes correctly argued that life without political order leads to a society “where every man is enemy to every man” (Hobbes). Rousseau famously said, “man was born free, and he is everywhere in chains” to describe the exploitative and unequal anarchy that exists in a state of nature (Rousseau). Provided this, the state has a samaritan duty to prevent a state of nature, and can only do so by demanding certain trade-offs from citizens. Moreover, government authority is particularly beneficial for the most vulnerable members of society who would otherwise be left at the mercy of anarchy. The poor, people with disabilities, and historically oppressed groups are likely to face unregulated discrimination and structural barriers in a state of nature where every individual must fend for themselves. In contrast, by taxing citizens to fund welfare programs, infrastructure, and public services, the government can provide a safety net and legal protection for individuals who may be disadvantaged by the lottery of birth. Therefore, governments are justified in imposing basic demands to secure the freedom of all individuals, and to prevent exploitation that will likely occur in a state of nature, thereby ensuring equality.

This begs the question: what grants governments unique political authority? Unlike individuals or private companies, the state is uniquely situated to protect us from a state of nature because only it has the means to fix a problem of collective action. As Wellmann puts it, political peril is a “coordination problem” which can only be resolved through state coercion (Wellmann and Simmons). Without forcible taxation or military conscription from the government, it is likely that citizens will free-ride on public goods rather than contribute. To use the example of taxation, self-interested individuals may be reluctant to sacrifice their earnings to contribute to the societal good. Similarly, individuals are often unwilling to risk their lives in war, yet protecting the safety of all citizens in a country requires that some citizens fight on the frontlines. Only governments are able to enforce a cohesive set of laws across a geographic area, unlike individuals or private organizations with conflicting interests. Only governments can reliably oversee an impartial justice system, in contrast to individually motivated and often disproportionate punishments led by vigilantes in a state of nature. Another reason why governments are uniquely equipped to enforce the law is due to their vast political expertise and knowledge of their state; a lawmaker is educated to weigh the pros and cons of a bill in their country, and are likely to be more well- informed of its societal and geopolitical implications than the average individual.

Importantly, our right to basic goods such as security, property and liberty entails a further right to have those goods enforced. Citizens cannot access rights unless there is a state that ensures those rights are granted; rights do not exist in a vacuum or in the abstract. Kant said, “justice is united with the authorization to use coercion against anyone who violates justice” (Kant). According to Kant’s categorical imperative, an individual should only be able to claim a right of their own upon upholding the rights of others. To guarantee that fundamental rights are enforced for all, governments must extract demands from citizens; for example, taxing them to fund public services to provide basic necessities or conscripting citizens into the military to protect the state, thereby upholding the lives of citizens at home. Only through taxation is the government able to guarantee the right to public healthcare and education. Freedom for individuals can only occur under state coercion; only then can citizens feel secure and have their bodily integrity upheld.

An oft-cited counterargument against the authority of governments is the libertarian view that individuals know what is best for themselves and have earned the fruits of their labour, meaning that government intervention is a violation of their autonomy. However, there are two flaws with this argument. First, though individuals may know what is best for themselves, they are ill- equipped to know what is best for society; the government is justified to impose reasonable costs on individuals to protect society as a whole. This is because the state has a duty to protect the moral equality of all citizens above the political whims of individuals. Conversely, individuals ought to obey the law to rescue others from a dire state of anarchy (Wellmann and Simmons). Second, it is unlikely that individuals would have amassed wealth in the first place without government intervention. A businessman likely benefits from roads built by the government, subsidies, intellectual property laws, and most of all, the maintenance of an orderly society. In exchange, it is only appropriate for the government to demand that citizens contribute to the functioning of the state. In a similar critique of the authority of governments, Robert Wolff argues in In Defense of Anarchism that moral autonomy is incompatible with political authority as obeying the state requires that individuals do not follow their own moral compass (Wolff). Yet this is precisely the purpose of political authority; as morality is subjective, an individual’s moral views should not dictate the law, but rather, the majority’s views should determine how society is governed. While in a state of anarchy the most powerful individuals are likely to dictate society regardless of the morality of their views, through demands such as taxation and military conscription that apply equally to most citizens, the government is able to enforce democratic checks and balances that ensure the views of all citizens are represented.

Associative Obligations and Reciprocity

Second, governments are justified in enforcing these demands due to the uniquely normative and reciprocal relationship they have with citizens. Normatively, the moral authority of governments can be justified on a purely associative basis: citizens have an inherent obligation to obey the state they were born into. As Dworkin argued, “Political association, like family or friendship and other forms of association more local and intimate, is itself pregnant of obligation” (Dworkin). Similar to a family unit where children owe duties to their parents by virtue of being born into that family regardless of their consent, citizens acquire obligations to obey political authority by virtue of being born into a state. In Crito, Socrates reasoned that he ought not to flee the state but rather accept his punishment of hemlock because his long residence in Athens meant he had entered an ‘agreement’ with the city’s laws (Plato). Thus, one’s continued birth, education, and residence in a state signals tacit consent to its authority.

Beyond appealing to our intuitions, government authority is justified on a reciprocal basis. Rousseau argued in The Social Contract that citizens agree to a hypothetical pact to transfer certain rights to a collective governing body that serves the common good (Rousseau). Unlike individuals, democratic governments have been elected into power, and thus represent the interests of a majority of the population. In exchange for letting citizens participate in the political process, the state is justified in enforcing laws. More importantly, citizens benefit from public goods that are integral to their wellbeing, from laws that protect citizens against theft to welfare programs that provide a safety net for the poor. The mere presence of state authority ensures that individuals live in an orderly society rather than an anarchy; a functioning society is implausible without taxes or military conscription. Irrespective of whether we have explicitly consented to state authority, our participation in an orderly society and enjoyment of public goods means we have a reciprocal duty to repay the state through taxes and military conscription.

To this, Hume objected that not all individuals have chosen to be a part of the state and receive these benefits as most individuals cannot move out of their country of origin. He raises the analogy of an individual being forcibly carried onto a ship where they are unjustly subject to the captain’s commands (Hume). However, a duty to reciprocate still exists for three reasons. First, the fact that citizens benefit from public services and reside in an orderly society, or at the very least are presented with the option of doing so, entails tacit consent of the state’s authority and thus a duty to obey the law, lest they become a free rider. Second, ignoring duties to oneself, citizens have a samaritan duty to contribute their share in protecting others from a state of nature, and consequently, governments have a proportional duty to impose demands on citizens. Third, the importance of explicit consent is questionable, since we tend to dismiss consent when the act in question is exceedingly immoral or harmful. For example, we prohibit individuals from consenting to sell themselves into slavery or to sell their organs. Given this, it is unclear why the opposite does not equally apply: if individuals fail to explicitly consent to an action that is extremely beneficial or just, should a lack of consent bar that action? To illustrate this using Hume’s analogy, if a ship was sinking and the captain ordered all the passengers to coordinate to patch up the hole, assuming the ship can only be saved if everyone obeys the command, arguably this authority is justified regardless of an individual’s lack of consent to being ordered.

Conclusion

Governments must extract certain sacrifices from citizens to protect their freedom. Though the alternative of anarchy creates the illusion of freedom, individuals cannot access security and liberty without state coercion. Unlike individuals, governments hold a uniquely reciprocal relationship to citizens, granting them a right, and indeed a duty, to tax and conscript citizens to provide public goods and services that individuals cannot provide for themselves.

Bibliography

Christiano, T. (2012). Authority. Retrieved July 15, 2020, from https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/authority/

Dworkin, R. (1986). Law's Empire. Cambridge MA: Harvard University Press Green, L. (2003). Legal Obligation and Authority. Retrieved July 15, 2020, from

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/legal-obligation/

Hume, D. (1985). “Of the Original Contract,” in Essays, Moral Political, and Literary ed. E.F. Miller. Indianapolis: Liberty Classics.

Huemer, M. (2013). The Problem of Political Authority: An Examination of the Right to Coerce and the Duty to Obey. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan

Hobbes, T, 1588-1679. (1968). Leviathan. Baltimore: Penguin Books,

Kant, I. (1797). The Metaphysical Elements of Justice: Part I of The Metaphysics of Morals. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Plato & Gallop, D. (1997). Crito. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Raz, Joseph. (1986) The Morality of Freedom. Oxford: Clarendon Press.

Rousseau, J.-J., & In Frankel, C. (1947). The Social Contract. New York: Hafner Publishing Co.

Wellman, C. H., & Simmons, A. J. (2005). Is there a duty to obey the law? New York: Cambridge University Press.

Wolff, Robert Paul. (1970). In Defense of Anarchism. Harper Collins.

2020年政治奖三等奖

 An analysis of American charitable giving and its implications on government efficacy
美国慈善捐赠及其对政府效能的影响分析

Calvin Xu,加拿大阿普尔比学院
2020年政治奖第三名 |6.5 分钟阅读

Among the hundreds of billions of dollars dedicated by Americans towards philanthropy each year, the state receives a minuscule fraction of this money. The ultimate goals of charities and the state are often aligned: to promote social wellbeing and improve the lives of people. The state often does so through the funding of numerous universal social services, while charities tend to focus on protecting the interests of certain vulnerable groups in society. While the state is in many cases more efficient than private charities, the specific niches charities fill, and the contrasting public perceptions of charities and the state make governments unable to compete with private charities for donations. The implication is therefore not that cannibalization of one over the other would greatly serve the social good, but that their coexistence is necessary to achieve common goals.

An intuitive answer to the reason why philanthropic contributions are mostly directed towards private charities rather than the government is a free-market capitalist idea of competition. This reasoning claims that consumers, in this case donors, would choose to make contributions to the institution that would maximize the impact of their donation. However, the idea that the private sector is always more efficient than the state is misleading. The government can provide many public services in a much more efficient way than the private sector. For instance, in the United States, where the private sector has a significantly higher share in the healthcare industry, total healthcare spending per capita in 2019 was around double that of European countries and Canada where there exists universal healthcare under a single-payer model funded by government spending, despite similar outcomes judging by life expectancy (OECD, 2020). Similarly, the government is generally more efficient in the operation of public services. In the UK, for example, public subsidies towards railways actually increased dramatically following privatization, while rail services that remained state operated cost taxpayers less money (Simms & Reid, 2013). This demonstrates a higher efficiency on the part of the state towards the funding of widely accessible social services. This includes, among others, services such as healthcare, public transportation networks, and a social security net.

These services require massive bureaucracies and significant funding to be operational. The US government has the advantage of a far higher budget than the $300 billion dollars Americans donated to charity each year and is therefore better suited to fund most public services.

Therefore, in many cases, the government is not only the most efficient but also an irreplaceable actor in providing critical social services.

A common argument raised as to why the private sector is more efficient is that there exists an incentive structure to constantly improve efficiency to gain a competitive advantage. A charity that provides educational resources in low income communities, for example, has a direct incentive to prove it can do so more efficiently than other organizations performing similar functions, thereby securing more donations. The public sector, opponents argue, lacks the same incentives which is what allows waste and inefficiency. Not only is this somewhat offset by aforementioned advantages of the public sector, the assertion that there exists little to no incentive to improve efficiency in the public sector is also false. Politicians in democratic systems of governance have a direct incentive to improve efficiency as they hope to be reelected by taxpayers. Similarly, bureaucracies operating within the state have an incentive to be more efficient and improve processes because a negative perception towards it will likely result in cuts in funding towards that bureaucracy. For example, perception of wasteful spending on the part of the department of transportation would likely lead to voters calling for reduced funding, or even partial privatization. Therefore, there exists a similar incentive in the public sector to improve efficiency and the management of taxpayer dollars.

Given that the state is often more efficient in the promotion of social wellbeing through funding public services, the same line of reasoning of competition would therefore suggest that most charitable donations would go towards the state, rather than private charities, which is contradicted by the actual behavior of donors. This occurs due to two main factors. Firstly, the relationship between the state and private charities is for the most part not one of competition. Instead, the state and private charities complement each other in their functionalities, where private charities are able to fill niche roles where the state has failed or is less efficient. Therefore, while the state may be more efficient in broad social services accessible to wide ranges of people, charities often focus on specific vulnerable groups. For instance, while the state may be an effective provider of a social safety net in the form of welfare checks and food stamps for those in poverty, the specific needs of communities that were placed in poverty in the first place by government neglect or past and current instances of institutional racism on the part of the state are ones that may be better, or uniquely, addressed by non-profit organizations that have a deeper understanding of such a community. Social problems seen as “too small” for governments, but nevertheless have an enormous negative impact on the lives and wellbeing of people, can be combatted through philanthropy. This is clearly understood by governments, because there exist government grants and subsidies for non-profit organizations. In fact, a study done by the Global Centre for Public Service Excellence found “no conclusive evidence that one model of ownership is intrinsically more efficient than the others” (Rao, 2015). Rather, the paper suggests that the type of service and contextual factors generally determined the efficacy of the private versus public sector (Rao, 2015). Therefore, the conclusion drawn is not that private charities or government spending should be abolished in favor of the other, but that the coexistence of both complement each other in a way that is best able to serve the social good.

The notion that private charities fill niches governments are unable or unwilling to is further supported by the distribution of charitable giving. In 2018, charitable giving to international affairs as well as environment and animal organizations rose, with giving to environment and animal organizations reaching an all-time high (Giving USA, 2019). This comes amid the current US administration, which has withdrawn from the Paris Agreement and placed lowered emphasis on environmental concerns in favor of economic development (Pompeo, 2019). Additionally, this administration has also been criticized for its handling of international affairs, with global favorability ratings of American foreign policy sliding (Buttigieg & Gordon, 2020). The increase in charitable donations to these areas can be seen as a response to where the government has failed and provides further support for the complementary nature of the government and charities.

Moreover, donors favor private charities because they have a generally better perception than the government and its policies. There are several reasons for this. Firstly, taxation is widely unpopular among the general public. A Gallup poll on the perceptions of Americans towards government taxation policy found that although less individuals today compared to previous decades feel that they pay too much federal income tax, that number is still around half of all Americans and over a third believe that the amount of income tax they paid was unfair (Gallup, n.d.). In fact, since 1956, the percentage of individuals who felt they paid too little federal income tax has never exceeded 4% (Gallup, n.d.). Therefore, due to the ill will towards the existence of what is effectively an obligatory contribution towards the government, and the minuscule amount of people who feel they pay too little in taxes, individuals are unlikely to want to donate to the government.

Secondly, the effects of your donation to private charitable organizations is far more observable and traceable. Donations to the government are put into a wide variety of government programs. Therefore, the donor does not know what they are donating to when they are making a contribution. While an individual may support increased funding to healthcare, or roads, or education, they may not support increased funding to military spending and vice versa. Given that the individual is often unable to control the spending of their donation, it is far more appealing for someone passionate about education to donate to a private charity focused solely on education, or for someone passionate about the military to donate to a private charity focused solely on providing financial assistance to homeless veterans. Private charities cater towards specific goals, which allows donors to have increased choice in the spending of their donation, therefore being much more appealing to donors that are passionate about a specific cause or a specific community. Additionally, donating to governments is inherently political, and governments will often allocate spending and enact policies that a significant portion of the population may disagree to, while charities tend to be uncontroversial and universally appealing.

Thirdly, the idea of the government as a corrupt and inefficient bureaucracy is one that is quite pervasive, and many people buy into the narrative that the private sector is more efficient, despite this being inaccurate. Private charities are therefore far more sympathetic, seen as good actors in contrast to the government, even though inefficiencies and corruption exist in equal, or even greater quantities in private charities. This is further exacerbated by advertisement campaigns commonly employed by private charities that portray sympathetic individuals in need and empowering success stories that provoke strong emotions. While politicians also highlight the successes of the government during campaigns for the purposes of reelection, adversaries to the incumbents in power often do the exact opposite, pointing out the failures of the government, creating a less favorable image of the government in general. This means that a significant part of the reason as to why the state cannot compete with private charities for donations lies not in the state’s actual inefficiency compared to private charities, but in the perception of the state in contrast to private charities.

The government provides many critical services that have an enormous impact in improving general social wellbeing among the public, often in a far more efficient way than private institutions. However, there exist needs that the government is unable or unwilling to fulfill, thus creating the demand for private charities aimed at addressing these specific needs. Individuals choose to donate primarily to these private charities because of a negative perception towards the government, whether in regards to taxation, perceived waste of resources, or generally as a sympathetic actor. Additionally, government policies and spending are inevitably controversial, and spread across a broad range of issues concerning the general good. Donors who value choice highly, or who are primarily concerned with addressing specific issues will therefore turn towards charities, who are more focused on an uncontroversial niche. The implications of the apparent disconnect between government efficiency and charitable donations are neither that the inefficient government should be replaced by private sector non-profit organizations, nor that the functions performed by private charities should be cannibalized by the state. Instead, the conclusion that should be drawn is that governments cannot compete with private charities because their relationship should not be one of competition, but rather that they should complement each other in ultimately promoting the wellbeing of a society.

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2020年政治奖一等奖

American citizens give away more than $300 billion each year in charitable donations. Only a tiny fraction of this (less than 0.001%) is donated to federal, state, and local governments. Politicians claim that they spend taxpayers' money efficiently, to accomplish the most good with the budgets at their disposal. But if this were true wouldn't governments be able to compete more successfully with private charities? What are the implications of your answer?

美国公民每年捐赠超过3000亿美元的慈善捐款。其中只有一小部分(不到0.001%)捐赠给联邦,州和地方政府。政客们声称,他们有效地使用纳税人的钱,以利用他们可支配的预算实现最大的好处。但如果这是真的,政府难道就不能更成功地与私人慈善机构竞争吗?你的回答意味着什么?

Helny Hobbs,纽斯特德伍德学校,英国
2020年政治奖得主|7 分钟阅读

Introduction

Americans are one of the most philanthropic peoples in the world with their voluntary giving exceeding the total GDP of nations such as Israel and Chile. However, donations to federal, state and local governments are astronomically low, despite the aim of government being to advance social good in the same way as the third sector. Government’s inability to successfully compete with non-profits stems, not from lack of efficiency as it would appear prima facie, but from their inability to match the 'warm glow’ provided by private charity and, most of all, philanthropic particularism. The implications of these factors are that America’s welfare system perpetuates the status quo and often does not deliver necessary change. Government and private charity should be provoked to compete on terms of efficiency, to ensure the maximum potential for social good is fulfilled by devising new methods to measure efficiency and informing Americans of their biases. However, in cases where particularism cannot be overcome, it is the duty of government to step in and increase taxation.

A Matter of Efficiency?

When it comes to explaining the gulf between donations to government and private charity, the veracity of the claim that government does not use its money efficiently is inconsequential – instead, it is whether government is perceived as inefficient that may influence how people donate. Since President Carter popularised small-government rhetoric in the seventies, Americans have become notorious for their distrust of government effectiveness (especially at the federal level), with 73% of Americans - both Republicans and Democrats - believing that charities are more cost-effective than government agencies.

However, efficiency is not a significant consideration in philanthropic decisions for most individuals as it is subjugated by human nature. For example, imagine a burning building in which there is a child and $1 million that you have pledged to give to the Malaria Foundation. Would you save the child or the money that could save the lives of many more children? While the latter would be more effective, human nature favours the former demonstrating how humans are motivated by considerations besides efficiency. Singer agrees in his “drowning child” hypothetical. This becomes increasingly evident when looking at the third sector: according to Guide Dogs of America it costs $42,000 to train a guide dog but only $25 to fund 80% effective surgery for sufferers of trachoma in Africa which could restore their sight, however, the former charity still receives donations. Further, even if donors try to be effective, because of the difficulty in evaluating the efficiency of an initiative donors experience an ‘evaluability bias’ (Ord) that sees them prioritise easily measurable factors such as overhead ratio, irrespective of cost-effectiveness. Therefore, even if governments were viewed as on-par with the third sector in terms of efficiency, they would still not be able to compete for funds as there are more powerful factors at play that sway the preference of Americans towards private charity.

The ‘Warm Glow’ of Philanthropy

The first of these factors is the increased emotional reward from donating to charity over governments, or the ‘warm glow’ theory (Andreoni). The dominant motivation behind charitable giving is “the internal satisfaction that individuals derive from the act of giving” (Hernández-Murillo) which economists model as a commodity which individuals shop for in the market of philanthropy, trying to find the best place to get their money’s worth. Governments are significantly worse at providing this emotional reward; they are large so donors feel disconnected from the end result of their money, seeing it as swallowed up into the great administrative machine, unlike private charities which use advertising to link donors to their work such as: “£5 could pay for a goat for two families” (Oxfam) which gives donors more satisfaction as they feel that they are having a tangible impact. Further, the extensive impact of government schemes is a blessing and a curse as a single victim is better at inducing a strong affective response than a large number of victims presented in a statistical form (Slovic). One only must look to the recent George Floyd protests to evidence how powerful the story of one man receiving injustice is compared to statistics about police brutality that have been available for years.

The prioritisation of emotional reward means that philanthropic competition is reduced to an emotionally driven marketing campaign. However, some warn of the dangers of straying away from this approach, replacing emotion with facts and figures and thereby removing our humanity as "privately funded charity is the only charity stemming from individual compassion” (Tocqueville). However, there is a misconception that less emotional approach eradicates human empathy when it can enhance it. Mill argued that those who must concern themself with society are “those few whose actions have an influence that extends that far”; in the global world we live in today, this applies not to the few but to the majority. Empathy must take on a different form, one that accommodates for the vast information available to us about suffering across the world. To ignore this data and continue to base philanthropic decisions upon how emotionally roused we are by specific issues would be to be unempathetic to the rest of the suffering that happens across the world. While we cannot entirely withdraw emotion from charitable decisions as it is a powerful tool that motivates us to do good in the first place, we must have a measured approach, harnessing this empathy while recognising how it informs our biases: as Singer states, philanthropic decisions must be a “combination of heart and head”.

Philanthropic Particularism

The second and most influential factor is ‘philanthropic particularism’ (Salmon) - where donors tend to prefer certain groups and issues. Americans are much more likely to donate to private charity as it gives them the scope to display their personal preference without the interests of the rest of the country having to play a role, as they do when donating to the democratically elected government. In the US especially, with its laissez-faire neo-liberal attitudes, the impoverished are seen as ‘undeserving’ (a trope fuelled by racial divisions) which sees many Americans prefer to donate to religious organisations (32% of all donations) over redistributive organisations such as governments. The significance of particularism becomes more evident when looking to countries with highly homogenous populations like Scandinavian countries where people derive adequate satisfaction from government ‘charity’ as they relate to the recipients. Therefore, a much larger proportion of Scandinavians are prepared to support growth of the welfare state, unlike America where demographic divisions see more conflicts of interest within the electorate who are averse to an opposing group benefitting at their expense. While one may avoid their donation being used for a cause they are adverse to by specifying what the money should go towards, this is easier to do in private charity where there is more transparency about exactly how the money can be used, unlike governments where information about schemes being undertaken is not readily available.

This partisanship is reinforced by the belief that in America, civic duties are fulfilled through paying tax and that if government needed more money they would raise taxes - a falsehood, as the US government keeps taxes low to keep support amongst the electorate even though they have scope to do good with additional funds. Americans defend their right to income post-taxation, arguing for the liberty to spend it how they wish. However, the inadequate taxes enforced leave government with little capacity to implement social welfare meaning the responsibility falls upon private charities to fill the gaping holes in the social safety net, and thus the responsibility for choosing which issues need attention on donors.

Therefore, particularism has drastic ramifications as it dictates the shape of the welfare system and causes philanthropy to become a plutocracy with billionaires such as Bezos having the power to decide who deserves aid in America. Konkzal highlights that this system “channels aid towards the interests and needs of those who already hold large amounts of power” exemplified in the extortionate amount of charitable giving that goes into political advocacy and elite colleges. Where drastic and transformative change is needed that may be at the expense of those in the upper echelons of society, change will be opposed and the issue disregarded (Reich). Carter would criticize this, arguing that private charity is “democracy in action” with people ‘voting’ with their money, protecting non-mainstream ideas. However, wealth inequality means that not every ‘voter’ is equal, a necessary qualification for democracy.

The Case for Effective Altruism

While competition isn’t to do with effectiveness but emotional reward and particularism, governments and private charity should be competing in the market on the sole term of efficiency, with donors taking a utilitarian approach. The recent, rapidly accelerating effective altruism movement - headed by Peter Singer - argues for a new approach to welfare motivated by efficiency alone, making philanthropy “more about the beneficiaries of our money than our own need for warm and fuzzy feelings” (Fraser). The effectiveness of different charitable organisations can vary by as much as 2000%, suggesting huge scope for improving the effectiveness of welfare by redistributing resources. Once it becomes a competition of effectiveness, market forces will ensure that both charity and governments focus on improving their effectiveness instead of on ways to harness emotion and unimportant factors in advertising (such as reducing their overhead costs).

The easier it becomes to donate effectively, the more Americans will. To eliminate the ‘evaluability bias’ and distrust in government effectiveness, government and private charity must adopt comparable scales of effectiveness (such as the STEPS framework proposed by Eder) and make this information accessible and widely available. This will allow potential donors to realise the areas where government is more suitable to deal with an issue than charity. For example, non-profits such as ‘Ascension’ are trying to remedy issues with healthcare however their work often deals with the symptoms of the issue instead of the root of the problem in the way that government could if they reform the entire structure. This example illustrates how even though political action is often more unpredictable in yielding results, the “benefits of successful initiative are potentially much higher” in many cases (Baron), which will be made evident through these comparable statistics so that individuals have the capacity evaluate the most effective use of their money.

However, donating efficiently involves not just donating to the organisation that is best suited to deal with a chosen issue, but donating towards issues that are most in need. While quantifying effectiveness of institutions that are addressing similar issues is undemanding, it is difficult to compare dissimilar issues - for example, is curing a hundred children of blindness better than saving the life of one child? - so it is unrealistic to deploy statistics in this situation. Instead we must be mildly optimistic that philanthropic individuals have a measure of objective desire to do good with their money, so if informed of biases that are preventing them from doing so, will try to overcome them. Indeed, Americans will receive a heightened ‘warm glow’ knowing that they are donating more effectively, which will be a strong motivator. However, this more subjective approach based upon trusting individuals will not eradicate philanthropic particularism, so in the numerous cases where particularism sees the most important issues being disregarded, it is the duty of governments to protect the needy amongst their electorate and step in, acquiring additional funds through state or federal tax.

Conclusion

By changing the perception of government to an institution bent upon aiding those in need and deserving to be considered by donors in the same way as non-profits, doors will be opened to new approaches to social issues that utilise the power of government. Competition based solely on efficiency should be stimulated, by making it easier to evaluate this factor and by cultivating a culture of effective altruism. However, as ingrained biases mean that Americans cannot shoulder the responsibility of identifying the most pressing social issues, government must begin to step in and obtain the necessary funds through taxation to aid those disregarded by the Americans able to afford charitable giving.

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